Republican Victoria Spartz, the incumbent since 2021, holds a structural advantage in Indiana’s 5th Congressional District, rated R+8 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index and encompassing suburban areas north of Indianapolis plus parts of Muncie and Kokomo. Spartz secured the Republican nomination after defeating primary challengers, while Democrat J.D. Ford, a state senator, won his party’s May 5, 2026 primary. The district’s partisan lean and Spartz’s 2024 reelection margin of roughly 13 points underpin the 79.5% Republican consensus price. Limited public polling for the specific race and national generic ballot trends showing a modest Democratic edge have not shifted the local outlook materially ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트IN-05 House Election Winner
IN-05 House Election Winner
$19,691 거래량
$19,691 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
74%
Democratic Party
21%
$19,691 거래량
$19,691 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$10,777 거래량
74%
Democratic Party
$8,913 거래량
21%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Victoria Spartz, the incumbent since 2021, holds a structural advantage in Indiana’s 5th Congressional District, rated R+8 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index and encompassing suburban areas north of Indianapolis plus parts of Muncie and Kokomo. Spartz secured the Republican nomination after defeating primary challengers, while Democrat J.D. Ford, a state senator, won his party’s May 5, 2026 primary. The district’s partisan lean and Spartz’s 2024 reelection margin of roughly 13 points underpin the 79.5% Republican consensus price. Limited public polling for the specific race and national generic ballot trends showing a modest Democratic edge have not shifted the local outlook materially ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$19,691종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Victoria Spartz, the incumbent since 2021, holds a structural advantage in Indiana’s 5th Congressional District, rated R+8 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index and encompassing suburban areas north of Indianapolis plus parts of Muncie and Kokomo. Spartz secured the Republican nomination after defeating primary challengers, while Democrat J.D. Ford, a state senator, won his party’s May 5, 2026 primary. The district’s partisan lean and Spartz’s 2024 reelection margin of roughly 13 points underpin the 79.5% Republican consensus price. Limited public polling for the specific race and national generic ballot trends showing a modest Democratic edge have not shifted the local outlook materially ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$19,691종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Victoria Spartz, the incumbent since 2021, holds a structural advantage in Indiana’s 5th Congressional District, rated R+8 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index and encompassing suburban areas north of Indianapolis plus parts of Muncie and Kokomo. Spartz secured the Republican nomination after defeating primary challengers, while Democrat J.D. Ford, a state senator, won his party’s May 5, 2026 primary. The district’s partisan lean and Spartz’s 2024 reelection margin of roughly 13 points underpin the 79.5% Republican consensus price. Limited public polling for the specific race and national generic ballot trends showing a modest Democratic edge have not shifted the local outlook materially ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문