Incumbent Rep. Lucy McBath's (D) commanding position in Georgia's 6th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic with a D+25 partisan lean, drives trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party ahead of the May 19 primaries. McBath faces no Democratic primary opposition after suspending her gubernatorial exploratory committee last month to seek a fourth House term, ensuring party unity following her 74.7% 2024 general election victory. She holds a massive fundraising edge, raising 20 times more than the two Republican primary contenders, Justin Pinker and Kevin Martin. While midterms often favor the president's party (Republicans under Trump), an upset would require a major Democratic scandal, McBath health issues, or extraordinary GOP turnout in this Atlanta suburb stronghold.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
6%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$3,410 거래량
93%
Republican Party
$3,093 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Lucy McBath's (D) commanding position in Georgia's 6th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic with a D+25 partisan lean, drives trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party ahead of the May 19 primaries. McBath faces no Democratic primary opposition after suspending her gubernatorial exploratory committee last month to seek a fourth House term, ensuring party unity following her 74.7% 2024 general election victory. She holds a massive fundraising edge, raising 20 times more than the two Republican primary contenders, Justin Pinker and Kevin Martin. While midterms often favor the president's party (Republicans under Trump), an upset would require a major Democratic scandal, McBath health issues, or extraordinary GOP turnout in this Atlanta suburb stronghold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
거래량
$6,502종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Lucy McBath's (D) commanding position in Georgia's 6th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic with a D+25 partisan lean, drives trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party ahead of the May 19 primaries. McBath faces no Democratic primary opposition after suspending her gubernatorial exploratory committee last month to seek a fourth House term, ensuring party unity following her 74.7% 2024 general election victory. She holds a massive fundraising edge, raising 20 times more than the two Republican primary contenders, Justin Pinker and Kevin Martin. While midterms often favor the president's party (Republicans under Trump), an upset would require a major Democratic scandal, McBath health issues, or extraordinary GOP turnout in this Atlanta suburb stronghold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$6,502종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Lucy McBath's (D) commanding position in Georgia's 6th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic with a D+25 partisan lean, drives trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party ahead of the May 19 primaries. McBath faces no Democratic primary opposition after suspending her gubernatorial exploratory committee last month to seek a fourth House term, ensuring party unity following her 74.7% 2024 general election victory. She holds a massive fundraising edge, raising 20 times more than the two Republican primary contenders, Justin Pinker and Kevin Martin. While midterms often favor the president's party (Republicans under Trump), an upset would require a major Democratic scandal, McBath health issues, or extraordinary GOP turnout in this Atlanta suburb stronghold.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문