Incumbent Democrat Brad Schneider secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 79 percent of the vote and faces Republican Carl Lambrecht in the November general election for Illinois's 10th congressional district. The northern Chicago suburbs and exurbs that comprise the seat have shown consistent Democratic preference in recent cycles, reflected in Schneider's 60 percent margin in 2024. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 93.5 percent implied probability due to the district's partisan composition, the incumbent's fundraising and name recognition, and limited Republican infrastructure. A significant national shift against Democrats, an unforeseen personal or legal development affecting the incumbent, or unusually strong Republican turnout in suburban precincts represent the primary variables that could narrow or reverse the current consensus before Election Day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트IL-10 House Election Winner
IL-10 House Election Winner
$27,438 거래량
$27,438 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
4%
$27,438 거래량
$27,438 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$19,073 거래량
94%
Republican Party
$8,365 거래량
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Brad Schneider secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 79 percent of the vote and faces Republican Carl Lambrecht in the November general election for Illinois's 10th congressional district. The northern Chicago suburbs and exurbs that comprise the seat have shown consistent Democratic preference in recent cycles, reflected in Schneider's 60 percent margin in 2024. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 93.5 percent implied probability due to the district's partisan composition, the incumbent's fundraising and name recognition, and limited Republican infrastructure. A significant national shift against Democrats, an unforeseen personal or legal development affecting the incumbent, or unusually strong Republican turnout in suburban precincts represent the primary variables that could narrow or reverse the current consensus before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$27,438종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Brad Schneider secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 79 percent of the vote and faces Republican Carl Lambrecht in the November general election for Illinois's 10th congressional district. The northern Chicago suburbs and exurbs that comprise the seat have shown consistent Democratic preference in recent cycles, reflected in Schneider's 60 percent margin in 2024. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 93.5 percent implied probability due to the district's partisan composition, the incumbent's fundraising and name recognition, and limited Republican infrastructure. A significant national shift against Democrats, an unforeseen personal or legal development affecting the incumbent, or unusually strong Republican turnout in suburban precincts represent the primary variables that could narrow or reverse the current consensus before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$27,438종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Brad Schneider secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 79 percent of the vote and faces Republican Carl Lambrecht in the November general election for Illinois's 10th congressional district. The northern Chicago suburbs and exurbs that comprise the seat have shown consistent Democratic preference in recent cycles, reflected in Schneider's 60 percent margin in 2024. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 93.5 percent implied probability due to the district's partisan composition, the incumbent's fundraising and name recognition, and limited Republican infrastructure. A significant national shift against Democrats, an unforeseen personal or legal development affecting the incumbent, or unusually strong Republican turnout in suburban precincts represent the primary variables that could narrow or reverse the current consensus before Election Day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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