Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain's strong hold on Michigan's 9th Congressional District, rated R+16 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, drives trader consensus at 91.5% for a Republican victory, reflecting her 66.8% 2024 win and unopposed August 4 Republican primary after challenger Daltson Atwell withdrew. The Democratic primary has narrowed to Ray Pooley following Wyatt Clark's exit, with independents Jasen Cartwright and Fernando Valdez posing minimal threat in this safe Republican seat. McClain's elevation to House Republican Conference Chairwoman late last year bolsters her profile amid no recent polling or competitive developments. Scenarios like a major scandal, national Democratic wave, or depressed GOP turnout could challenge this, ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
9%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$8,808 거래량
92%
Democratic Party
$300 거래량
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain's strong hold on Michigan's 9th Congressional District, rated R+16 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, drives trader consensus at 91.5% for a Republican victory, reflecting her 66.8% 2024 win and unopposed August 4 Republican primary after challenger Daltson Atwell withdrew. The Democratic primary has narrowed to Ray Pooley following Wyatt Clark's exit, with independents Jasen Cartwright and Fernando Valdez posing minimal threat in this safe Republican seat. McClain's elevation to House Republican Conference Chairwoman late last year bolsters her profile amid no recent polling or competitive developments. Scenarios like a major scandal, national Democratic wave, or depressed GOP turnout could challenge this, ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$9,108종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain's strong hold on Michigan's 9th Congressional District, rated R+16 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, drives trader consensus at 91.5% for a Republican victory, reflecting her 66.8% 2024 win and unopposed August 4 Republican primary after challenger Daltson Atwell withdrew. The Democratic primary has narrowed to Ray Pooley following Wyatt Clark's exit, with independents Jasen Cartwright and Fernando Valdez posing minimal threat in this safe Republican seat. McClain's elevation to House Republican Conference Chairwoman late last year bolsters her profile amid no recent polling or competitive developments. Scenarios like a major scandal, national Democratic wave, or depressed GOP turnout could challenge this, ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$9,108종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain's strong hold on Michigan's 9th Congressional District, rated R+16 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, drives trader consensus at 91.5% for a Republican victory, reflecting her 66.8% 2024 win and unopposed August 4 Republican primary after challenger Daltson Atwell withdrew. The Democratic primary has narrowed to Ray Pooley following Wyatt Clark's exit, with independents Jasen Cartwright and Fernando Valdez posing minimal threat in this safe Republican seat. McClain's elevation to House Republican Conference Chairwoman late last year bolsters her profile amid no recent polling or competitive developments. Scenarios like a major scandal, national Democratic wave, or depressed GOP turnout could challenge this, ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문