The open Massachusetts 6th Congressional District seat, vacated by Rep. Seth Moulton for his U.S. Senate bid, remains a solidly Democratic stronghold rated D+11 by Cook Political Report, with trader consensus reflecting historical double-digit Democratic margins in general elections and a weak Republican field led solely by Army veteran attorney Micah Jones. Recent Democratic primary developments, including former President Biden's May 4 endorsement of Dan Koh and Rick Jakious's exit from the seven-candidate field ahead of the September 1 primary, have reinforced party unity without altering the general election outlook. Scenarios that could challenge this include a national GOP midterm wave, a post-primary scandal engulfing the Democratic nominee, or unexpectedly high Republican turnout in this North Shore battleground.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$14,682 거래량
$14,682 거래량
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
2%
$14,682 거래량
$14,682 거래량
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
2%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open Massachusetts 6th Congressional District seat, vacated by Rep. Seth Moulton for his U.S. Senate bid, remains a solidly Democratic stronghold rated D+11 by Cook Political Report, with trader consensus reflecting historical double-digit Democratic margins in general elections and a weak Republican field led solely by Army veteran attorney Micah Jones. Recent Democratic primary developments, including former President Biden's May 4 endorsement of Dan Koh and Rick Jakious's exit from the seven-candidate field ahead of the September 1 primary, have reinforced party unity without altering the general election outlook. Scenarios that could challenge this include a national GOP midterm wave, a post-primary scandal engulfing the Democratic nominee, or unexpectedly high Republican turnout in this North Shore battleground.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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