Incumbent Republican Steve Womack's unopposed advance through the March 3, 2026, primary, paired with Arkansas' 3rd Congressional District's R+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index, drives trader consensus pricing a GOP hold at 90.5% for the November 3 general election. Womack, seeking a ninth term, boasts a massive fundraising edge with $2.3 million cash-on-hand as of late March, dwarfing Democrat Robb Ryerse's $4,600, amid historical 30-plus-point victories in safe Republican territory rated Solid R by Cook Political Report. While low-probability shifts like a major Womack scandal, health event, or overwhelming national Democratic midterm wave could challenge this, the incumbent's structural advantages and lack of competitive polling sustain the commanding odds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
9%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$5,897 거래량
91%
Democratic Party
$765 거래량
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Steve Womack's unopposed advance through the March 3, 2026, primary, paired with Arkansas' 3rd Congressional District's R+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index, drives trader consensus pricing a GOP hold at 90.5% for the November 3 general election. Womack, seeking a ninth term, boasts a massive fundraising edge with $2.3 million cash-on-hand as of late March, dwarfing Democrat Robb Ryerse's $4,600, amid historical 30-plus-point victories in safe Republican territory rated Solid R by Cook Political Report. While low-probability shifts like a major Womack scandal, health event, or overwhelming national Democratic midterm wave could challenge this, the incumbent's structural advantages and lack of competitive polling sustain the commanding odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
거래량
$6,662종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Steve Womack's unopposed advance through the March 3, 2026, primary, paired with Arkansas' 3rd Congressional District's R+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index, drives trader consensus pricing a GOP hold at 90.5% for the November 3 general election. Womack, seeking a ninth term, boasts a massive fundraising edge with $2.3 million cash-on-hand as of late March, dwarfing Democrat Robb Ryerse's $4,600, amid historical 30-plus-point victories in safe Republican territory rated Solid R by Cook Political Report. While low-probability shifts like a major Womack scandal, health event, or overwhelming national Democratic midterm wave could challenge this, the incumbent's structural advantages and lack of competitive polling sustain the commanding odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$6,662종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Steve Womack's unopposed advance through the March 3, 2026, primary, paired with Arkansas' 3rd Congressional District's R+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index, drives trader consensus pricing a GOP hold at 90.5% for the November 3 general election. Womack, seeking a ninth term, boasts a massive fundraising edge with $2.3 million cash-on-hand as of late March, dwarfing Democrat Robb Ryerse's $4,600, amid historical 30-plus-point victories in safe Republican territory rated Solid R by Cook Political Report. While low-probability shifts like a major Womack scandal, health event, or overwhelming national Democratic midterm wave could challenge this, the incumbent's structural advantages and lack of competitive polling sustain the commanding odds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문