Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding position in New York’s 11th congressional district, a Staten Island-based seat with a consistent Republican lean reflected in her 64 percent victory in 2024. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, aligning with trader consensus that favors the GOP at 87.5 percent. The upcoming June 23 Democratic primary between Michael DeCillis and Allison Ziogas occurs too close to the general election to shift fundamentals, and no recent polling or fundraising data indicates a viable challenge. Malliotakis faces no primary opposition, reinforcing the low 11 percent Democratic probability ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트NY-11 House Election Winner
NY-11 House Election Winner
$14,925 거래량
$14,925 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
88%
Democratic Party
11%
$14,925 거래량
$14,925 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$8,232 거래량
88%
Democratic Party
$6,692 거래량
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding position in New York’s 11th congressional district, a Staten Island-based seat with a consistent Republican lean reflected in her 64 percent victory in 2024. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, aligning with trader consensus that favors the GOP at 87.5 percent. The upcoming June 23 Democratic primary between Michael DeCillis and Allison Ziogas occurs too close to the general election to shift fundamentals, and no recent polling or fundraising data indicates a viable challenge. Malliotakis faces no primary opposition, reinforcing the low 11 percent Democratic probability ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
거래량
$14,925종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding position in New York’s 11th congressional district, a Staten Island-based seat with a consistent Republican lean reflected in her 64 percent victory in 2024. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, aligning with trader consensus that favors the GOP at 87.5 percent. The upcoming June 23 Democratic primary between Michael DeCillis and Allison Ziogas occurs too close to the general election to shift fundamentals, and no recent polling or fundraising data indicates a viable challenge. Malliotakis faces no primary opposition, reinforcing the low 11 percent Democratic probability ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$14,925종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding position in New York’s 11th congressional district, a Staten Island-based seat with a consistent Republican lean reflected in her 64 percent victory in 2024. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, aligning with trader consensus that favors the GOP at 87.5 percent. The upcoming June 23 Democratic primary between Michael DeCillis and Allison Ziogas occurs too close to the general election to shift fundamentals, and no recent polling or fundraising data indicates a viable challenge. Malliotakis faces no primary opposition, reinforcing the low 11 percent Democratic probability ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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