Incumbent Rep. Nicole Malliotakis (R) holds a commanding position in New York's 11th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report (PVI R+10) and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball, reflecting the Staten Island-based seat's rightward shift since 2020 among working-class voters including police and firefighters. The Supreme Court's March 2026 ruling preserved GOP-favorable boundaries by blocking a Democratic redistricting challenge, solidifying the partisan lean ahead of the June 23 primaries and November 3 general election. Malliotakis, unopposed in the GOP primary, boasts $2.5 million cash-on-hand as of March 31—far exceeding fragmented Democratic contenders Michael DeCillis, Umar Usman, and Allison Ziogas—driving trader consensus to an 85% implied probability for a Republican victory.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$13,419 거래량
$13,419 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
85%
Democratic Party
14%
$13,419 거래량
$13,419 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$7,455 거래량
85%
Democratic Party
$5,964 거래량
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Nicole Malliotakis (R) holds a commanding position in New York's 11th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report (PVI R+10) and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball, reflecting the Staten Island-based seat's rightward shift since 2020 among working-class voters including police and firefighters. The Supreme Court's March 2026 ruling preserved GOP-favorable boundaries by blocking a Democratic redistricting challenge, solidifying the partisan lean ahead of the June 23 primaries and November 3 general election. Malliotakis, unopposed in the GOP primary, boasts $2.5 million cash-on-hand as of March 31—far exceeding fragmented Democratic contenders Michael DeCillis, Umar Usman, and Allison Ziogas—driving trader consensus to an 85% implied probability for a Republican victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
거래량
$13,419종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Nicole Malliotakis (R) holds a commanding position in New York's 11th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report (PVI R+10) and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball, reflecting the Staten Island-based seat's rightward shift since 2020 among working-class voters including police and firefighters. The Supreme Court's March 2026 ruling preserved GOP-favorable boundaries by blocking a Democratic redistricting challenge, solidifying the partisan lean ahead of the June 23 primaries and November 3 general election. Malliotakis, unopposed in the GOP primary, boasts $2.5 million cash-on-hand as of March 31—far exceeding fragmented Democratic contenders Michael DeCillis, Umar Usman, and Allison Ziogas—driving trader consensus to an 85% implied probability for a Republican victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$13,419종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Nicole Malliotakis (R) holds a commanding position in New York's 11th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report (PVI R+10) and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball, reflecting the Staten Island-based seat's rightward shift since 2020 among working-class voters including police and firefighters. The Supreme Court's March 2026 ruling preserved GOP-favorable boundaries by blocking a Democratic redistricting challenge, solidifying the partisan lean ahead of the June 23 primaries and November 3 general election. Malliotakis, unopposed in the GOP primary, boasts $2.5 million cash-on-hand as of March 31—far exceeding fragmented Democratic contenders Michael DeCillis, Umar Usman, and Allison Ziogas—driving trader consensus to an 85% implied probability for a Republican victory.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문