Incumbent Democrat Sara Jacobs advanced from the June 2026 primary in California’s 51st district alongside Republican Ricardo Cabrera, setting up the November general election. The district’s heavy Democratic voter registration and partisan lean underpin trader consensus for a Democratic win, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Jacobs benefits from incumbency, established name recognition, and the structural advantages typical of California districts with similar registration imbalances. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented swing in turnout or a major unforeseen development such as a significant scandal or health-related withdrawal by the incumbent between now and November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트CA-51 House Election Winner
CA-51 House Election Winner
$29,408 거래량
$29,408 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
4%
$29,408 거래량
$29,408 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$15,174 거래량
94%
Republican Party
$14,233 거래량
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sara Jacobs advanced from the June 2026 primary in California’s 51st district alongside Republican Ricardo Cabrera, setting up the November general election. The district’s heavy Democratic voter registration and partisan lean underpin trader consensus for a Democratic win, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Jacobs benefits from incumbency, established name recognition, and the structural advantages typical of California districts with similar registration imbalances. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented swing in turnout or a major unforeseen development such as a significant scandal or health-related withdrawal by the incumbent between now and November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
거래량
$29,408종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sara Jacobs advanced from the June 2026 primary in California’s 51st district alongside Republican Ricardo Cabrera, setting up the November general election. The district’s heavy Democratic voter registration and partisan lean underpin trader consensus for a Democratic win, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Jacobs benefits from incumbency, established name recognition, and the structural advantages typical of California districts with similar registration imbalances. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented swing in turnout or a major unforeseen development such as a significant scandal or health-related withdrawal by the incumbent between now and November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$29,408종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Sara Jacobs advanced from the June 2026 primary in California’s 51st district alongside Republican Ricardo Cabrera, setting up the November general election. The district’s heavy Democratic voter registration and partisan lean underpin trader consensus for a Democratic win, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Jacobs benefits from incumbency, established name recognition, and the structural advantages typical of California districts with similar registration imbalances. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented swing in turnout or a major unforeseen development such as a significant scandal or health-related withdrawal by the incumbent between now and November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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