Incumbent Democrat Judy Chu's bid for re-election in solidly Democratic California's 28th Congressional District anchors trader consensus at heavy Democratic favoritism ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. The Los Angeles-area seat features lopsided voter registration—roughly 45% Democratic to 23% Republican—and Chu's 2024 win by nearly 65%, underscoring longstanding partisan advantages reflected in Safe/Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others. Primary challengers include Democrat Peter Roybal and Republican April Verlato; the top two will advance to November's general election. Absent polling or recent catalysts like scandals, the market prices minimal upset risk despite the GOP's nominal presence.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$89,254 거래량
$89,254 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
90%
공화당
10%
$89,254 거래량
$89,254 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$41,330 거래량
90%
공화당
$47,923 거래량
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Judy Chu's bid for re-election in solidly Democratic California's 28th Congressional District anchors trader consensus at heavy Democratic favoritism ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. The Los Angeles-area seat features lopsided voter registration—roughly 45% Democratic to 23% Republican—and Chu's 2024 win by nearly 65%, underscoring longstanding partisan advantages reflected in Safe/Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others. Primary challengers include Democrat Peter Roybal and Republican April Verlato; the top two will advance to November's general election. Absent polling or recent catalysts like scandals, the market prices minimal upset risk despite the GOP's nominal presence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
거래량
$89,254종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Judy Chu's bid for re-election in solidly Democratic California's 28th Congressional District anchors trader consensus at heavy Democratic favoritism ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. The Los Angeles-area seat features lopsided voter registration—roughly 45% Democratic to 23% Republican—and Chu's 2024 win by nearly 65%, underscoring longstanding partisan advantages reflected in Safe/Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others. Primary challengers include Democrat Peter Roybal and Republican April Verlato; the top two will advance to November's general election. Absent polling or recent catalysts like scandals, the market prices minimal upset risk despite the GOP's nominal presence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$89,254종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Judy Chu's bid for re-election in solidly Democratic California's 28th Congressional District anchors trader consensus at heavy Democratic favoritism ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. The Los Angeles-area seat features lopsided voter registration—roughly 45% Democratic to 23% Republican—and Chu's 2024 win by nearly 65%, underscoring longstanding partisan advantages reflected in Safe/Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others. Primary challengers include Democrat Peter Roybal and Republican April Verlato; the top two will advance to November's general election. Absent polling or recent catalysts like scandals, the market prices minimal upset risk despite the GOP's nominal presence.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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