Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin VA-01 House race, with Democrats at 47.5% and Republicans at 46.5%, driven by the Virginia Supreme Court's May 8 ruling striking down the voter-approved redistricting amendment and preserving the current R+3 map favoring incumbent Rob Wittman (R). Despite this Republican structural edge, strong Democratic fundraising—led by Henrico prosecutor Shannon Taylor ($1.3 million raised, $822,000 cash on hand) in a crowded August 4 primary field including Jason Knapp—signals recruitment momentum amid recent Democratic gains in the district during 2025 state races. Wittman's $3.9 million cash bolsters his defense, but primary outcomes, national midterm headwinds, and swing voter turnout in this Lean Republican battleground could tip the November 3 balance.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$17,991 거래량
$17,991 거래량
2026.11.04
민주당
48%
공화당
47%
$17,991 거래량
$17,991 거래량
2026.11.04
민주당
$16,285 거래량
48%
공화당
$1,706 거래량
47%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin VA-01 House race, with Democrats at 47.5% and Republicans at 46.5%, driven by the Virginia Supreme Court's May 8 ruling striking down the voter-approved redistricting amendment and preserving the current R+3 map favoring incumbent Rob Wittman (R). Despite this Republican structural edge, strong Democratic fundraising—led by Henrico prosecutor Shannon Taylor ($1.3 million raised, $822,000 cash on hand) in a crowded August 4 primary field including Jason Knapp—signals recruitment momentum amid recent Democratic gains in the district during 2025 state races. Wittman's $3.9 million cash bolsters his defense, but primary outcomes, national midterm headwinds, and swing voter turnout in this Lean Republican battleground could tip the November 3 balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
거래량
$17,991종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin VA-01 House race, with Democrats at 47.5% and Republicans at 46.5%, driven by the Virginia Supreme Court's May 8 ruling striking down the voter-approved redistricting amendment and preserving the current R+3 map favoring incumbent Rob Wittman (R). Despite this Republican structural edge, strong Democratic fundraising—led by Henrico prosecutor Shannon Taylor ($1.3 million raised, $822,000 cash on hand) in a crowded August 4 primary field including Jason Knapp—signals recruitment momentum amid recent Democratic gains in the district during 2025 state races. Wittman's $3.9 million cash bolsters his defense, but primary outcomes, national midterm headwinds, and swing voter turnout in this Lean Republican battleground could tip the November 3 balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$17,991종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin VA-01 House race, with Democrats at 47.5% and Republicans at 46.5%, driven by the Virginia Supreme Court's May 8 ruling striking down the voter-approved redistricting amendment and preserving the current R+3 map favoring incumbent Rob Wittman (R). Despite this Republican structural edge, strong Democratic fundraising—led by Henrico prosecutor Shannon Taylor ($1.3 million raised, $822,000 cash on hand) in a crowded August 4 primary field including Jason Knapp—signals recruitment momentum amid recent Democratic gains in the district during 2025 state races. Wittman's $3.9 million cash bolsters his defense, but primary outcomes, national midterm headwinds, and swing voter turnout in this Lean Republican battleground could tip the November 3 balance.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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