California's 6th congressional district, redrawn under recent maps and vacated by longtime incumbent Ami Bera, maintains a clear Democratic tilt that underpins the 91.5% trader consensus for a Democratic general-election winner. Nonpartisan primary voters on June 2 will select the top two candidates to advance to the November 3 ballot, with multiple Democrats already competing alongside independent former Representative Kevin Kiley. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the seat as Solid or Likely Democratic, reflecting voter registration patterns and historical performance in the Sacramento-area district. A Republican or independent victory would require an unusually large shift in turnout or candidate positioning that has not appeared in available polling. The primary outcome remains the most immediate variable that could still alter the general-election matchup.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
8%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$6,528 거래량
92%
Republican Party
$286 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 6th congressional district, redrawn under recent maps and vacated by longtime incumbent Ami Bera, maintains a clear Democratic tilt that underpins the 91.5% trader consensus for a Democratic general-election winner. Nonpartisan primary voters on June 2 will select the top two candidates to advance to the November 3 ballot, with multiple Democrats already competing alongside independent former Representative Kevin Kiley. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the seat as Solid or Likely Democratic, reflecting voter registration patterns and historical performance in the Sacramento-area district. A Republican or independent victory would require an unusually large shift in turnout or candidate positioning that has not appeared in available polling. The primary outcome remains the most immediate variable that could still alter the general-election matchup.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
거래량
$6,814종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 6th congressional district, redrawn under recent maps and vacated by longtime incumbent Ami Bera, maintains a clear Democratic tilt that underpins the 91.5% trader consensus for a Democratic general-election winner. Nonpartisan primary voters on June 2 will select the top two candidates to advance to the November 3 ballot, with multiple Democrats already competing alongside independent former Representative Kevin Kiley. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the seat as Solid or Likely Democratic, reflecting voter registration patterns and historical performance in the Sacramento-area district. A Republican or independent victory would require an unusually large shift in turnout or candidate positioning that has not appeared in available polling. The primary outcome remains the most immediate variable that could still alter the general-election matchup.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$6,814종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 6th congressional district, redrawn under recent maps and vacated by longtime incumbent Ami Bera, maintains a clear Democratic tilt that underpins the 91.5% trader consensus for a Democratic general-election winner. Nonpartisan primary voters on June 2 will select the top two candidates to advance to the November 3 ballot, with multiple Democrats already competing alongside independent former Representative Kevin Kiley. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the seat as Solid or Likely Democratic, reflecting voter registration patterns and historical performance in the Sacramento-area district. A Republican or independent victory would require an unusually large shift in turnout or candidate positioning that has not appeared in available polling. The primary outcome remains the most immediate variable that could still alter the general-election matchup.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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