The open MI-11 House seat, vacated by Rep. Haley Stevens running for U.S. Senate, drives trader consensus toward Democrats at overwhelming odds, reflecting the district's strong partisan lean—Biden won by 20 points in 2020 and Stevens by 18 points in 2024—earning Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. No credible Republican candidates have emerged, with filings limited and fundraising dwarfed by Democratic contenders like state Sen. Jeremy Moss, who leads cash-on-hand. Absent recent catalysts in the past 30 days, markets price in a standard hold ahead of the August 4 primaries. Challenges could arise from a high-profile GOP entrant, Dem nominee scandal, or national midterm wave favoring Republicans.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$56,096 거래량
$56,096 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
96%
공화당
1%
$56,096 거래량
$56,096 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$43,902 거래량
96%
공화당
$12,194 거래량
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open MI-11 House seat, vacated by Rep. Haley Stevens running for U.S. Senate, drives trader consensus toward Democrats at overwhelming odds, reflecting the district's strong partisan lean—Biden won by 20 points in 2020 and Stevens by 18 points in 2024—earning Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. No credible Republican candidates have emerged, with filings limited and fundraising dwarfed by Democratic contenders like state Sen. Jeremy Moss, who leads cash-on-hand. Absent recent catalysts in the past 30 days, markets price in a standard hold ahead of the August 4 primaries. Challenges could arise from a high-profile GOP entrant, Dem nominee scandal, or national midterm wave favoring Republicans.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$56,096종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open MI-11 House seat, vacated by Rep. Haley Stevens running for U.S. Senate, drives trader consensus toward Democrats at overwhelming odds, reflecting the district's strong partisan lean—Biden won by 20 points in 2020 and Stevens by 18 points in 2024—earning Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. No credible Republican candidates have emerged, with filings limited and fundraising dwarfed by Democratic contenders like state Sen. Jeremy Moss, who leads cash-on-hand. Absent recent catalysts in the past 30 days, markets price in a standard hold ahead of the August 4 primaries. Challenges could arise from a high-profile GOP entrant, Dem nominee scandal, or national midterm wave favoring Republicans.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$56,096종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open MI-11 House seat, vacated by Rep. Haley Stevens running for U.S. Senate, drives trader consensus toward Democrats at overwhelming odds, reflecting the district's strong partisan lean—Biden won by 20 points in 2020 and Stevens by 18 points in 2024—earning Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. No credible Republican candidates have emerged, with filings limited and fundraising dwarfed by Democratic contenders like state Sen. Jeremy Moss, who leads cash-on-hand. Absent recent catalysts in the past 30 days, markets price in a standard hold ahead of the August 4 primaries. Challenges could arise from a high-profile GOP entrant, Dem nominee scandal, or national midterm wave favoring Republicans.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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