Incumbent Republican Troy Downing secured his party's nomination without opposition in the June 2026 primary for Montana's 2nd congressional district, positioning him strongly against Democratic nominee Brian Miller in the November general election. The eastern Montana district, encompassing rural areas around Billings and Great Falls, has consistently favored Republican candidates by wide margins in recent cycles, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solidly Republican. Trader consensus on the dominant outcome aligns with the district's partisan lean, the incumbent's established support, and the absence of significant recent developments such as polling shifts or controversies that might alter the balance. A late-breaking scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unusually strong Democratic national performance could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this safely held seat based on historical patterns.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트MT-02 House Election Winner
MT-02 House Election Winner
$13,591 거래량
$13,591 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
6%
$13,591 거래량
$13,591 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$9,591 거래량
93%
Democratic Party
$4,000 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Troy Downing secured his party's nomination without opposition in the June 2026 primary for Montana's 2nd congressional district, positioning him strongly against Democratic nominee Brian Miller in the November general election. The eastern Montana district, encompassing rural areas around Billings and Great Falls, has consistently favored Republican candidates by wide margins in recent cycles, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solidly Republican. Trader consensus on the dominant outcome aligns with the district's partisan lean, the incumbent's established support, and the absence of significant recent developments such as polling shifts or controversies that might alter the balance. A late-breaking scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unusually strong Democratic national performance could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this safely held seat based on historical patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$13,591종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Troy Downing secured his party's nomination without opposition in the June 2026 primary for Montana's 2nd congressional district, positioning him strongly against Democratic nominee Brian Miller in the November general election. The eastern Montana district, encompassing rural areas around Billings and Great Falls, has consistently favored Republican candidates by wide margins in recent cycles, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solidly Republican. Trader consensus on the dominant outcome aligns with the district's partisan lean, the incumbent's established support, and the absence of significant recent developments such as polling shifts or controversies that might alter the balance. A late-breaking scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unusually strong Democratic national performance could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this safely held seat based on historical patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$13,591종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Troy Downing secured his party's nomination without opposition in the June 2026 primary for Montana's 2nd congressional district, positioning him strongly against Democratic nominee Brian Miller in the November general election. The eastern Montana district, encompassing rural areas around Billings and Great Falls, has consistently favored Republican candidates by wide margins in recent cycles, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solidly Republican. Trader consensus on the dominant outcome aligns with the district's partisan lean, the incumbent's established support, and the absence of significant recent developments such as polling shifts or controversies that might alter the balance. A late-breaking scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unusually strong Democratic national performance could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this safely held seat based on historical patterns.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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