Divisions within France's Socialist Party have emerged as the dominant factor shaping trader sentiment on the United Left primary outcome, with internal opposition to a broad contest and the recent resignation of key figure Olivier Vallaud eroding support for party leader Olivier Faure's push for participation. This uncertainty, compounded by La France Insoumise's confirmed absence and the conditional stance of other partners ahead of the October 11 vote, has positioned "Canceled" as the leading outcome at 56%. Among remaining contenders, Marine Tondelier benefits from her Ecologist party designation and structural backing across moderate left factions, while François Ruffin's Debout! base trails amid the fragmented field. Recent municipal election results have provided limited momentum for unity, leaving the process vulnerable to further withdrawals or procedural breakdowns before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트취소됨 56%
Marine Tondelier 29%
François Ruffin 11%
벤자민 뤼카-룬디 1.1%
$51,281 거래량
$51,281 거래량
2026.10.11
취소됨
56%
Marine Tondelier
29%
François Ruffin
11%
벤자민 뤼카-룬디
1%
Lydie Massard
<1%
Clémentine Autain
<1%
취소됨 56%
Marine Tondelier 29%
François Ruffin 11%
벤자민 뤼카-룬디 1.1%
$51,281 거래량
$51,281 거래량
2026.10.11
취소됨
$8,277 거래량
56%
Marine Tondelier
$26,498 거래량
29%
François Ruffin
$11,098 거래량
11%
벤자민 뤼카-룬디
$67 거래량
1%
Lydie Massard
$1,464 거래량
<1%
Clémentine Autain
$3,877 거래량
<1%
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Divisions within France's Socialist Party have emerged as the dominant factor shaping trader sentiment on the United Left primary outcome, with internal opposition to a broad contest and the recent resignation of key figure Olivier Vallaud eroding support for party leader Olivier Faure's push for participation. This uncertainty, compounded by La France Insoumise's confirmed absence and the conditional stance of other partners ahead of the October 11 vote, has positioned "Canceled" as the leading outcome at 56%. Among remaining contenders, Marine Tondelier benefits from her Ecologist party designation and structural backing across moderate left factions, while François Ruffin's Debout! base trails amid the fragmented field. Recent municipal election results have provided limited momentum for unity, leaving the process vulnerable to further withdrawals or procedural breakdowns before resolution.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
마켓 개설일: May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
거래량
$51,281종료일
2026.10.11마켓 개설일
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Divisions within France's Socialist Party have emerged as the dominant factor shaping trader sentiment on the United Left primary outcome, with internal opposition to a broad contest and the recent resignation of key figure Olivier Vallaud eroding support for party leader Olivier Faure's push for participation. This uncertainty, compounded by La France Insoumise's confirmed absence and the conditional stance of other partners ahead of the October 11 vote, has positioned "Canceled" as the leading outcome at 56%. Among remaining contenders, Marine Tondelier benefits from her Ecologist party designation and structural backing across moderate left factions, while François Ruffin's Debout! base trails amid the fragmented field. Recent municipal election results have provided limited momentum for unity, leaving the process vulnerable to further withdrawals or procedural breakdowns before resolution.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
거래량
$51,281종료일
2026.10.11마켓 개설일
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Divisions within France's Socialist Party have emerged as the dominant factor shaping trader sentiment on the United Left primary outcome, with internal opposition to a broad contest and the recent resignation of key figure Olivier Vallaud eroding support for party leader Olivier Faure's push for participation. This uncertainty, compounded by La France Insoumise's confirmed absence and the conditional stance of other partners ahead of the October 11 vote, has positioned "Canceled" as the leading outcome at 56%. Among remaining contenders, Marine Tondelier benefits from her Ecologist party designation and structural backing across moderate left factions, while François Ruffin's Debout! base trails amid the fragmented field. Recent municipal election results have provided limited momentum for unity, leaving the process vulnerable to further withdrawals or procedural breakdowns before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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