The Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s April 8 decision to hold the official cash rate at 2.25 percent amid Middle East geopolitical tensions has anchored market-implied odds for no change at the May 27 Monetary Policy Statement, with traders assigning an 86.5 percent probability to steady policy. Higher energy prices are expected to lift near-term inflation while simultaneously softening the economic recovery, prompting the central bank to remain data-dependent rather than shift its accommodative stance prematurely. Recent communications emphasize vigilance against generalized price pressures without committing to immediate tightening, consistent with the low 14.0 percent odds of a rate increase and negligible 0.1 percent chance of a cut. Key upcoming releases, including the April CPI print and labor-market data, will shape revisions to the RBNZ’s inflation and output-gap projections ahead of the meeting.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트No Change 87%
Increase 14%
Decrease <1%
$30,401 거래량
$30,401 거래량
2026.05.27
Increase
14%
No Change
87%
Decrease
<1%
No Change 87%
Increase 14%
Decrease <1%
$30,401 거래량
$30,401 거래량
2026.05.27
Increase
$10,197 거래량
14%
No Change
$9,682 거래량
87%
Decrease
$10,522 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s April 8 decision to hold the official cash rate at 2.25 percent amid Middle East geopolitical tensions has anchored market-implied odds for no change at the May 27 Monetary Policy Statement, with traders assigning an 86.5 percent probability to steady policy. Higher energy prices are expected to lift near-term inflation while simultaneously softening the economic recovery, prompting the central bank to remain data-dependent rather than shift its accommodative stance prematurely. Recent communications emphasize vigilance against generalized price pressures without committing to immediate tightening, consistent with the low 14.0 percent odds of a rate increase and negligible 0.1 percent chance of a cut. Key upcoming releases, including the April CPI print and labor-market data, will shape revisions to the RBNZ’s inflation and output-gap projections ahead of the meeting.
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
마켓 개설일: Feb 17, 2026, 5:52 PM ET
거래량
$30,401종료일
2026.05.27마켓 개설일
Feb 17, 2026, 5:52 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s April 8 decision to hold the official cash rate at 2.25 percent amid Middle East geopolitical tensions has anchored market-implied odds for no change at the May 27 Monetary Policy Statement, with traders assigning an 86.5 percent probability to steady policy. Higher energy prices are expected to lift near-term inflation while simultaneously softening the economic recovery, prompting the central bank to remain data-dependent rather than shift its accommodative stance prematurely. Recent communications emphasize vigilance against generalized price pressures without committing to immediate tightening, consistent with the low 14.0 percent odds of a rate increase and negligible 0.1 percent chance of a cut. Key upcoming releases, including the April CPI print and labor-market data, will shape revisions to the RBNZ’s inflation and output-gap projections ahead of the meeting.
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
거래량
$30,401종료일
2026.05.27마켓 개설일
Feb 17, 2026, 5:52 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s April 8 decision to hold the official cash rate at 2.25 percent amid Middle East geopolitical tensions has anchored market-implied odds for no change at the May 27 Monetary Policy Statement, with traders assigning an 86.5 percent probability to steady policy. Higher energy prices are expected to lift near-term inflation while simultaneously softening the economic recovery, prompting the central bank to remain data-dependent rather than shift its accommodative stance prematurely. Recent communications emphasize vigilance against generalized price pressures without committing to immediate tightening, consistent with the low 14.0 percent odds of a rate increase and negligible 0.1 percent chance of a cut. Key upcoming releases, including the April CPI print and labor-market data, will shape revisions to the RBNZ’s inflation and output-gap projections ahead of the meeting.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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