Trump's established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity, averaging around 18 posts daily with frequent overnight bursts tied to breaking news, legislative developments, and executive actions, underpins the tight spread among the 160-199 and 200+ outcome bins. Recent overnight posting frenzies responding to domestic policy disputes and diplomatic scheduling have reinforced trader expectations of elevated totals in the May 15-22 window, while the absence of a single dominant event keeps lower-volume ranges discounted. The wisdom of crowds reflected in these prices accounts for historical variability around congressional calendars and potential surges from unfolding international or domestic developments that could extend or moderate the pace.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트도널드 트럼프 # 진실 소셜 게시물 2026년 5월 15일 - 5월 22일?
도널드 트럼프 # 진실 소셜 게시물 2026년 5월 15일 - 5월 22일?
200개 이상 55%
160~179 27%
120~139 24%
180-199 19.2%
$18,903 거래량
$18,903 거래량
2026.05.22
60~79
<1%
80~99
<1%
100-119
5%
120~139
18%
140~159
14%
160~179
27%
180-199
27%
200개 이상
43%
200개 이상 55%
160~179 27%
120~139 24%
180-199 19.2%
$18,903 거래량
$18,903 거래량
2026.05.22
60~79
$1,316 거래량
<1%
80~99
$3,298 거래량
<1%
100-119
$891 거래량
5%
120~139
$672 거래량
18%
140~159
$413 거래량
14%
160~179
$274 거래량
27%
180-199
$487 거래량
27%
200개 이상
$677 거래량
43%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity, averaging around 18 posts daily with frequent overnight bursts tied to breaking news, legislative developments, and executive actions, underpins the tight spread among the 160-199 and 200+ outcome bins. Recent overnight posting frenzies responding to domestic policy disputes and diplomatic scheduling have reinforced trader expectations of elevated totals in the May 15-22 window, while the absence of a single dominant event keeps lower-volume ranges discounted. The wisdom of crowds reflected in these prices accounts for historical variability around congressional calendars and potential surges from unfolding international or domestic developments that could extend or moderate the pace.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
마켓 개설일: May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
거래량
$18,903종료일
2026.05.22마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity, averaging around 18 posts daily with frequent overnight bursts tied to breaking news, legislative developments, and executive actions, underpins the tight spread among the 160-199 and 200+ outcome bins. Recent overnight posting frenzies responding to domestic policy disputes and diplomatic scheduling have reinforced trader expectations of elevated totals in the May 15-22 window, while the absence of a single dominant event keeps lower-volume ranges discounted. The wisdom of crowds reflected in these prices accounts for historical variability around congressional calendars and potential surges from unfolding international or domestic developments that could extend or moderate the pace.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
거래량
$18,903종료일
2026.05.22마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETTrump's established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity, averaging around 18 posts daily with frequent overnight bursts tied to breaking news, legislative developments, and executive actions, underpins the tight spread among the 160-199 and 200+ outcome bins. Recent overnight posting frenzies responding to domestic policy disputes and diplomatic scheduling have reinforced trader expectations of elevated totals in the May 15-22 window, while the absence of a single dominant event keeps lower-volume ranges discounted. The wisdom of crowds reflected in these prices accounts for historical variability around congressional calendars and potential surges from unfolding international or domestic developments that could extend or moderate the pace.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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