President Trump’s mid-May summit in Beijing with Chinese President Xi Jinping, focused on trade, the Iran conflict, technology, and Taiwan, stands as the dominant recent catalyst for trader assessments in this market. This in-person engagement, the first U.S. presidential visit to China since 2017, follows earlier 2026 phone conversations with Russian President Vladimir Putin on Ukraine and Iran de-escalation. Additional scheduled diplomatic activity includes Putin’s upcoming trip to Beijing and routine contacts with European and Middle Eastern counterparts. Market pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds evaluating these verified diplomatic calendars, historical patterns of leader-to-leader outreach during active foreign-policy negotiations, and the narrow remaining window through May 31 for new calls or meetings to occur.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$844,140 거래량

볼로디미르 젤렌스키
45%

블라디미르 푸틴
44%

에마뉘엘 마크롱
45%

키어 스타머
34%

마크 카니
27%

마크 뤼터
24%

마리아 코리나 마차도
7%

교황 레오 14세
7%

아흐메드 알-샤라
6%

김정은
5%

레자 팔라비
5%

마수드 페제쉬키안
3%

니콜라스 마두로
1%

윤석열
1%
$844,140 거래량

볼로디미르 젤렌스키
45%

블라디미르 푸틴
44%

에마뉘엘 마크롱
45%

키어 스타머
34%

마크 카니
27%

마크 뤼터
24%

마리아 코리나 마차도
7%

교황 레오 14세
7%

아흐메드 알-샤라
6%

김정은
5%

레자 팔라비
5%

마수드 페제쉬키안
3%

니콜라스 마두로
1%

윤석열
1%
Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered.
Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question.
If the date/time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
마켓 개설일: Apr 30, 2026, 6:34 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered.
Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question.
If the date/time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump’s mid-May summit in Beijing with Chinese President Xi Jinping, focused on trade, the Iran conflict, technology, and Taiwan, stands as the dominant recent catalyst for trader assessments in this market. This in-person engagement, the first U.S. presidential visit to China since 2017, follows earlier 2026 phone conversations with Russian President Vladimir Putin on Ukraine and Iran de-escalation. Additional scheduled diplomatic activity includes Putin’s upcoming trip to Beijing and routine contacts with European and Middle Eastern counterparts. Market pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds evaluating these verified diplomatic calendars, historical patterns of leader-to-leader outreach during active foreign-policy negotiations, and the narrow remaining window through May 31 for new calls or meetings to occur.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문