Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires May 15, 2026—one day from now—but he plans to remain until successor Kevin Warsh assumes the role, while staying on the Board of Governors until 2028, a rare move unseen since 1948. The Senate confirmed Warsh to the Board yesterday in a 54-45 vote, clearing a key hurdle for President Trump's nominee amid earlier tensions, including April threats to fire Powell if he lingered. Powell affirmed his departure plans during the Fed's late April meeting, holding rates steady. Traders focus on the swift chairmanship transition ahead of June's Federal Open Market Committee meeting, reflecting consensus on an imminent handover.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$80,668 거래량
May 16
87%
5월 15일
16%
May 31
99%
June 30
100%
$80,668 거래량
May 16
87%
5월 15일
16%
May 31
99%
June 30
100%
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 16, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires May 15, 2026—one day from now—but he plans to remain until successor Kevin Warsh assumes the role, while staying on the Board of Governors until 2028, a rare move unseen since 1948. The Senate confirmed Warsh to the Board yesterday in a 54-45 vote, clearing a key hurdle for President Trump's nominee amid earlier tensions, including April threats to fire Powell if he lingered. Powell affirmed his departure plans during the Fed's late April meeting, holding rates steady. Traders focus on the swift chairmanship transition ahead of June's Federal Open Market Committee meeting, reflecting consensus on an imminent handover.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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