Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 86% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting resilient U.S. economic data that shows no acute distress warranting unscheduled action. April 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—driven by energy costs amid geopolitical tensions, while the unemployment rate held steady at 4.3% with modest nonfarm payroll gains of 115,000. The FOMC maintained the federal funds target at 3.50%-3.75% in late April, aligning with bank forecasts like BofA's pushing cuts to mid-2027. Absent a sharp labor market deterioration or financial crisis, scheduled meetings remain the policy pathway; watch May CPI on June 10 for inflation trajectory updates.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$103,984 거래량
$103,984 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$103,984 거래량
$103,984 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 86% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting resilient U.S. economic data that shows no acute distress warranting unscheduled action. April 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—driven by energy costs amid geopolitical tensions, while the unemployment rate held steady at 4.3% with modest nonfarm payroll gains of 115,000. The FOMC maintained the federal funds target at 3.50%-3.75% in late April, aligning with bank forecasts like BofA's pushing cuts to mid-2027. Absent a sharp labor market deterioration or financial crisis, scheduled meetings remain the policy pathway; watch May CPI on June 10 for inflation trajectory updates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
마켓 개설일: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
거래량
$103,984종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 86% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting resilient U.S. economic data that shows no acute distress warranting unscheduled action. April 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—driven by energy costs amid geopolitical tensions, while the unemployment rate held steady at 4.3% with modest nonfarm payroll gains of 115,000. The FOMC maintained the federal funds target at 3.50%-3.75% in late April, aligning with bank forecasts like BofA's pushing cuts to mid-2027. Absent a sharp labor market deterioration or financial crisis, scheduled meetings remain the policy pathway; watch May CPI on June 10 for inflation trajectory updates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
거래량
$103,984종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 86% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting resilient U.S. economic data that shows no acute distress warranting unscheduled action. April 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—driven by energy costs amid geopolitical tensions, while the unemployment rate held steady at 4.3% with modest nonfarm payroll gains of 115,000. The FOMC maintained the federal funds target at 3.50%-3.75% in late April, aligning with bank forecasts like BofA's pushing cuts to mid-2027. Absent a sharp labor market deterioration or financial crisis, scheduled meetings remain the policy pathway; watch May CPI on June 10 for inflation trajectory updates.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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