The 72% market-implied probability of zero dissents at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting reflects broad trader consensus that recent hawkish divergences will subside, following the four dissents at the April 28-29 session—the most since 1992. Persistent inflation above the 2% target, with March CPI above 3% and core PCE at 3.2%, alongside a resilient labor market that added only 115,000 jobs in April while holding unemployment at 4.3%, has reinforced expectations for a unanimous hold at the current 3.50%-3.75% federal funds range. This pricing aligns with 96% odds of no rate change, as regional bank presidents appear aligned against reintroducing an easing bias amid geopolitical inflation risks. Key upcoming data releases, including May CPI and PCE, will shape any final sentiment shifts before the meeting.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트0 69%
1 19%
3 7%
2 7%
$17,755 거래량
$17,755 거래량
2026.06.17
0
69%
1
19%
2
7%
3
7%
4+
2%
0 69%
1 19%
3 7%
2 7%
$17,755 거래량
$17,755 거래량
2026.06.17
0
$11,317 거래량
69%
1
$357 거래량
19%
2
$155 거래량
7%
3
$856 거래량
7%
4+
$5,072 거래량
2%
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 72% market-implied probability of zero dissents at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting reflects broad trader consensus that recent hawkish divergences will subside, following the four dissents at the April 28-29 session—the most since 1992. Persistent inflation above the 2% target, with March CPI above 3% and core PCE at 3.2%, alongside a resilient labor market that added only 115,000 jobs in April while holding unemployment at 4.3%, has reinforced expectations for a unanimous hold at the current 3.50%-3.75% federal funds range. This pricing aligns with 96% odds of no rate change, as regional bank presidents appear aligned against reintroducing an easing bias amid geopolitical inflation risks. Key upcoming data releases, including May CPI and PCE, will shape any final sentiment shifts before the meeting.
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
거래량
$17,755종료일
2026.06.17마켓 개설일
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 72% market-implied probability of zero dissents at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting reflects broad trader consensus that recent hawkish divergences will subside, following the four dissents at the April 28-29 session—the most since 1992. Persistent inflation above the 2% target, with March CPI above 3% and core PCE at 3.2%, alongside a resilient labor market that added only 115,000 jobs in April while holding unemployment at 4.3%, has reinforced expectations for a unanimous hold at the current 3.50%-3.75% federal funds range. This pricing aligns with 96% odds of no rate change, as regional bank presidents appear aligned against reintroducing an easing bias amid geopolitical inflation risks. Key upcoming data releases, including May CPI and PCE, will shape any final sentiment shifts before the meeting.
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
거래량
$17,755종료일
2026.06.17마켓 개설일
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 72% market-implied probability of zero dissents at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting reflects broad trader consensus that recent hawkish divergences will subside, following the four dissents at the April 28-29 session—the most since 1992. Persistent inflation above the 2% target, with March CPI above 3% and core PCE at 3.2%, alongside a resilient labor market that added only 115,000 jobs in April while holding unemployment at 4.3%, has reinforced expectations for a unanimous hold at the current 3.50%-3.75% federal funds range. This pricing aligns with 96% odds of no rate change, as regional bank presidents appear aligned against reintroducing an easing bias amid geopolitical inflation risks. Key upcoming data releases, including May CPI and PCE, will shape any final sentiment shifts before the meeting.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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