Michigan's constitutional convention ballot question, automatically placed every 16 years under state law, sees trader consensus leaning slightly toward No at 52.5% implied probability, driven by historical voter rejections—over 58% No in 2010, and wider margins in 1994 and 1978—amid fears of unpredictable delegate outcomes and special interest influence on a full rewrite. Recent opposition endorsements, including the Michigan Democratic Party's March stance and coalitions like Protect MI Constitution, bolster this positioning by highlighting risks to rights enshrined via recent ballot initiatives. The close contest reflects limited Republican backing from figures like Speaker Matt Hall and voter frustration with piecemeal amendments. Odds could tip via fall polling, major party conventions, campaign ad spending, or competition from other 2026 measures like citizens-only voting proposals on November 3 turnout.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).Michigan's constitutional convention ballot question, automatically placed every 16 years under state law, sees trader consensus leaning slightly toward No at 52.5% implied probability, driven by historical voter rejections—over 58% No in 2010, and wider margins in 1994 and 1978—amid fears of unpredictable delegate outcomes and special interest influence on a full rewrite. Recent opposition endorsements, including the Michigan Democratic Party's March stance and coalitions like Protect MI Constitution, bolster this positioning by highlighting risks to rights enshrined via recent ballot initiatives. The close contest reflects limited Republican backing from figures like Speaker Matt Hall and voter frustration with piecemeal amendments. Odds could tip via fall polling, major party conventions, campaign ad spending, or competition from other 2026 measures like citizens-only voting proposals on November 3 turnout.
Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
마켓 개설일: Mar 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
거래량
$6,054종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Mar 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).Michigan's constitutional convention ballot question, automatically placed every 16 years under state law, sees trader consensus leaning slightly toward No at 52.5% implied probability, driven by historical voter rejections—over 58% No in 2010, and wider margins in 1994 and 1978—amid fears of unpredictable delegate outcomes and special interest influence on a full rewrite. Recent opposition endorsements, including the Michigan Democratic Party's March stance and coalitions like Protect MI Constitution, bolster this positioning by highlighting risks to rights enshrined via recent ballot initiatives. The close contest reflects limited Republican backing from figures like Speaker Matt Hall and voter frustration with piecemeal amendments. Odds could tip via fall polling, major party conventions, campaign ad spending, or competition from other 2026 measures like citizens-only voting proposals on November 3 turnout.
Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
거래량
$6,054종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Mar 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Michigan's constitutional convention ballot question, automatically placed every 16 years under state law, sees trader consensus leaning slightly toward No at 52.5% implied probability, driven by historical voter rejections—over 58% No in 2010, and wider margins in 1994 and 1978—amid fears of unpredictable delegate outcomes and special interest influence on a full rewrite. Recent opposition endorsements, including the Michigan Democratic Party's March stance and coalitions like Protect MI Constitution, bolster this positioning by highlighting risks to rights enshrined via recent ballot initiatives. The close contest reflects limited Republican backing from figures like Speaker Matt Hall and voter frustration with piecemeal amendments. Odds could tip via fall polling, major party conventions, campaign ad spending, or competition from other 2026 measures like citizens-only voting proposals on November 3 turnout.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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