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icon for Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

icon for Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

24% 확률
Polymarket
신규
24% 확률
Polymarket
신규
Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).**Michigan voters face an automatic constitutional convention question on the November 3, 2026 ballot, the fourth such referendum since the 1963 Constitution took effect.** The measure asks whether to convene elected delegates in 2027 for a general revision, with any proposals then submitted to voters for ratification. Historical precedent strongly shapes current trader sentiment, as voters rejected prior calls by wide margins—77% no in 1978, 72% in 1994, and 67% in 2010—reflecting consistent preference for the existing framework over a full rewrite. Organized opposition from education and labor groups, including the Michigan Education Association, has already mobilized against the proposal, citing risks that a convention could reopen debates on public schools, collective bargaining, and other protected provisions. Targeted constitutional amendments via petition or legislative referral remain available as an alternative path for specific changes, further reducing perceived need for a convention. With the question appearing automatically every 16 years and limited recent polling or momentum for approval, trader consensus at 68% for rejection aligns with these established patterns and institutional preferences.

Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
거래량
$6,298
종료일
2026.11.03
마켓 개설일
Mar 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).**Michigan voters face an automatic constitutional convention question on the November 3, 2026 ballot, the fourth such referendum since the 1963 Constitution took effect.** The measure asks whether to convene elected delegates in 2027 for a general revision, with any proposals then submitted to voters for ratification. Historical precedent strongly shapes current trader sentiment, as voters rejected prior calls by wide margins—77% no in 1978, 72% in 1994, and 67% in 2010—reflecting consistent preference for the existing framework over a full rewrite. Organized opposition from education and labor groups, including the Michigan Education Association, has already mobilized against the proposal, citing risks that a convention could reopen debates on public schools, collective bargaining, and other protected provisions. Targeted constitutional amendments via petition or legislative referral remain available as an alternative path for specific changes, further reducing perceived need for a convention. With the question appearing automatically every 16 years and limited recent polling or momentum for approval, trader consensus at 68% for rejection aligns with these established patterns and institutional preferences.

Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
거래량
$6,298
종료일
2026.11.03
마켓 개설일
Mar 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).

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"Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?"은 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 이 이벤트가 발생할 것인지에 따라 "Yes" 또는 "No" 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 크라우드소싱 확률은 "Yes"에 대해 24%입니다. 예를 들어 "Yes"가 24¢에 거래되면 마켓은 이 이벤트가 발생할 확률을 24%로 부여합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

"Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?"은 Polymarket에서 새로 생성된 마켓입니다, Mar 2, 2026에 시작됨. 초기 마켓으로서 확률을 설정하고 마켓의 초기 가격 신호를 수립하는 첫 번째 트레이더 중 하나가 될 기회입니다. 이 페이지를 북마크하여 마켓이 성장함에 따라 거래량과 거래 활동을 추적할 수도 있습니다.

"Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?"에서 거래하려면 답이 "Yes"인지 "No"인지 선택하세요. 각 쪽에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 반영하는 현재 가격이 있습니다. 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. "Yes" 주식을 매수하고 결과가 "Yes"로 정산되면 각 주식은 $1을 지급합니다. "No"로 정산되면 "Yes" 주식은 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?"의 현재 확률은 "Yes"에 대해 24%입니다. 이는 Polymarket 크라우드가 현재 이 이벤트가 발생할 확률을 24%로 보고 있음을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 실제 거래에 기반하여 실시간으로 업데이트되어 마켓이 기대하는 바에 대한 지속적으로 업데이트되는 신호를 제공합니다.

"Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.