Trader consensus prices Republicans at 54.5% to win the Texas U.S. Senate seat amid a tight race against Democratic nominee James Talarico, who prevailed in the March 3 primary over Rep. Jasmine Crockett. The GOP primary runoff on May 26 between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton has intensified uncertainty, with recent polls like University of Houston's May 1 survey showing Paxton edging Cornyn 48%-45% among likely voters, while others such as Peak Insights give Cornyn a slim 47%-46% lead. Escalating negative ads and Cornyn allies' spending advantage highlight intra-party tensions; Talarico leads both in April general matchup polls (e.g., 46%-41% vs. Paxton), but Texas's GOP stronghold status and incumbency edge sustain the narrow Republican favoritism, with runoff dynamics poised to tip battleground turnout.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$201,754 거래량
$201,754 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
55%
민주당
46%
$201,754 거래량
$201,754 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$110,979 거래량
55%
민주당
$90,774 거래량
46%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices Republicans at 54.5% to win the Texas U.S. Senate seat amid a tight race against Democratic nominee James Talarico, who prevailed in the March 3 primary over Rep. Jasmine Crockett. The GOP primary runoff on May 26 between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton has intensified uncertainty, with recent polls like University of Houston's May 1 survey showing Paxton edging Cornyn 48%-45% among likely voters, while others such as Peak Insights give Cornyn a slim 47%-46% lead. Escalating negative ads and Cornyn allies' spending advantage highlight intra-party tensions; Talarico leads both in April general matchup polls (e.g., 46%-41% vs. Paxton), but Texas's GOP stronghold status and incumbency edge sustain the narrow Republican favoritism, with runoff dynamics poised to tip battleground turnout.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
거래량
$201,754종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices Republicans at 54.5% to win the Texas U.S. Senate seat amid a tight race against Democratic nominee James Talarico, who prevailed in the March 3 primary over Rep. Jasmine Crockett. The GOP primary runoff on May 26 between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton has intensified uncertainty, with recent polls like University of Houston's May 1 survey showing Paxton edging Cornyn 48%-45% among likely voters, while others such as Peak Insights give Cornyn a slim 47%-46% lead. Escalating negative ads and Cornyn allies' spending advantage highlight intra-party tensions; Talarico leads both in April general matchup polls (e.g., 46%-41% vs. Paxton), but Texas's GOP stronghold status and incumbency edge sustain the narrow Republican favoritism, with runoff dynamics poised to tip battleground turnout.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$201,754종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Republicans at 54.5% to win the Texas U.S. Senate seat amid a tight race against Democratic nominee James Talarico, who prevailed in the March 3 primary over Rep. Jasmine Crockett. The GOP primary runoff on May 26 between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton has intensified uncertainty, with recent polls like University of Houston's May 1 survey showing Paxton edging Cornyn 48%-45% among likely voters, while others such as Peak Insights give Cornyn a slim 47%-46% lead. Escalating negative ads and Cornyn allies' spending advantage highlight intra-party tensions; Talarico leads both in April general matchup polls (e.g., 46%-41% vs. Paxton), but Texas's GOP stronghold status and incumbency edge sustain the narrow Republican favoritism, with runoff dynamics poised to tip battleground turnout.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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