Incumbent Republican Pete Ricketts secured the GOP nomination in Nebraska's May 12 primary, advancing to the general election against independent Dan Osborn—who narrowly lost the state's other Senate seat in 2024 with 42%—and Democratic nominee Cindy Burbank, positioning trader consensus at 58.5% for Republican victory amid Nebraska's deep-red lean and incumbency edge. Osborn's 38% implied probability reflects recent polls, including a May 11 survey showing him leading Ricketts 47-42, bolstered by superior Q1 fundraising and appeal to independents breaking against the GOP amid low Trump approval ratings in the state. Democrats trail at 3.8% due to weak statewide infrastructure, with the November 3 contest hinging on turnout in rural areas and Omaha suburbs.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트공화당 59%
무소속 38%
민주당 3.8%
$113,086 거래량
$113,086 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
59%
무소속
38%
민주당
4%
공화당 59%
무소속 38%
민주당 3.8%
$113,086 거래량
$113,086 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$47,902 거래량
59%
무소속
$2,776 거래량
38%
민주당
$62,408 거래량
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Pete Ricketts secured the GOP nomination in Nebraska's May 12 primary, advancing to the general election against independent Dan Osborn—who narrowly lost the state's other Senate seat in 2024 with 42%—and Democratic nominee Cindy Burbank, positioning trader consensus at 58.5% for Republican victory amid Nebraska's deep-red lean and incumbency edge. Osborn's 38% implied probability reflects recent polls, including a May 11 survey showing him leading Ricketts 47-42, bolstered by superior Q1 fundraising and appeal to independents breaking against the GOP amid low Trump approval ratings in the state. Democrats trail at 3.8% due to weak statewide infrastructure, with the November 3 contest hinging on turnout in rural areas and Omaha suburbs.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
거래량
$113,086종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Pete Ricketts secured the GOP nomination in Nebraska's May 12 primary, advancing to the general election against independent Dan Osborn—who narrowly lost the state's other Senate seat in 2024 with 42%—and Democratic nominee Cindy Burbank, positioning trader consensus at 58.5% for Republican victory amid Nebraska's deep-red lean and incumbency edge. Osborn's 38% implied probability reflects recent polls, including a May 11 survey showing him leading Ricketts 47-42, bolstered by superior Q1 fundraising and appeal to independents breaking against the GOP amid low Trump approval ratings in the state. Democrats trail at 3.8% due to weak statewide infrastructure, with the November 3 contest hinging on turnout in rural areas and Omaha suburbs.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$113,086종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Pete Ricketts secured the GOP nomination in Nebraska's May 12 primary, advancing to the general election against independent Dan Osborn—who narrowly lost the state's other Senate seat in 2024 with 42%—and Democratic nominee Cindy Burbank, positioning trader consensus at 58.5% for Republican victory amid Nebraska's deep-red lean and incumbency edge. Osborn's 38% implied probability reflects recent polls, including a May 11 survey showing him leading Ricketts 47-42, bolstered by superior Q1 fundraising and appeal to independents breaking against the GOP amid low Trump approval ratings in the state. Democrats trail at 3.8% due to weak statewide infrastructure, with the November 3 contest hinging on turnout in rural areas and Omaha suburbs.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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