Trader consensus favors former U.S. Rep. Mary Peltola at 57.5% to unseat incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan at 34.5% in Alaska's 2026 Senate race, reflecting recent polling averages where Peltola leads by 4–7 points across multiple Alaska Survey Research surveys through mid-April, marking her sixth straight edge since October 2025. Her strong Q1 fundraising haul of nearly $9 million and announcement of 4,500 volunteers last week signal building momentum ahead of the August 18 top-four primary and November 3 ranked-choice general election. Sullivan maintains incumbency advantages from his 2020 reelection but trails amid voter concerns over his record, with minor candidates like Dustin Darden, Ann Diener, and Richard Grayson polling negligibly in the open primary field.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트메리 펠톨라 57%
댄 설리반 35%
더스틴 다든 <1%
앤 디너 <1%
$318,998 거래량
$318,998 거래량
2026.11.03
메리 펠톨라
57%
댄 설리반
35%
더스틴 다든
<1%
앤 디너
<1%
리처드 그레이슨
<1%
메리 펠톨라 57%
댄 설리반 35%
더스틴 다든 <1%
앤 디너 <1%
$318,998 거래량
$318,998 거래량
2026.11.03
메리 펠톨라
$157,830 거래량
57%
댄 설리반
$87,975 거래량
35%
더스틴 다든
$20,566 거래량
<1%
앤 디너
$32,987 거래량
<1%
리처드 그레이슨
$19,639 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Trader consensus favors former U.S. Rep. Mary Peltola at 57.5% to unseat incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan at 34.5% in Alaska's 2026 Senate race, reflecting recent polling averages where Peltola leads by 4–7 points across multiple Alaska Survey Research surveys through mid-April, marking her sixth straight edge since October 2025. Her strong Q1 fundraising haul of nearly $9 million and announcement of 4,500 volunteers last week signal building momentum ahead of the August 18 top-four primary and November 3 ranked-choice general election. Sullivan maintains incumbency advantages from his 2020 reelection but trails amid voter concerns over his record, with minor candidates like Dustin Darden, Ann Diener, and Richard Grayson polling negligibly in the open primary field.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
거래량
$318,998종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Trader consensus favors former U.S. Rep. Mary Peltola at 57.5% to unseat incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan at 34.5% in Alaska's 2026 Senate race, reflecting recent polling averages where Peltola leads by 4–7 points across multiple Alaska Survey Research surveys through mid-April, marking her sixth straight edge since October 2025. Her strong Q1 fundraising haul of nearly $9 million and announcement of 4,500 volunteers last week signal building momentum ahead of the August 18 top-four primary and November 3 ranked-choice general election. Sullivan maintains incumbency advantages from his 2020 reelection but trails amid voter concerns over his record, with minor candidates like Dustin Darden, Ann Diener, and Richard Grayson polling negligibly in the open primary field.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
거래량
$318,998종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors former U.S. Rep. Mary Peltola at 57.5% to unseat incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan at 34.5% in Alaska's 2026 Senate race, reflecting recent polling averages where Peltola leads by 4–7 points across multiple Alaska Survey Research surveys through mid-April, marking her sixth straight edge since October 2025. Her strong Q1 fundraising haul of nearly $9 million and announcement of 4,500 volunteers last week signal building momentum ahead of the August 18 top-four primary and November 3 ranked-choice general election. Sullivan maintains incumbency advantages from his 2020 reelection but trails amid voter concerns over his record, with minor candidates like Dustin Darden, Ann Diener, and Richard Grayson polling negligibly in the open primary field.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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