Trader consensus favors 125-130 million votes in the 2026 midterm House elections at 29%, reflecting record primary turnouts in states like Texas and North Carolina in March, where participation smashed recent midterm benchmarks and early voting exceeded 2022 levels. Democratic advantages in generic congressional ballot polling averages—leading by 5-14 points nationally per Nate Silver and Marist—signal heightened enthusiasm among key voting blocs amid President Trump's second term, positioning turnout near 2018's 49% peak rather than 2022's 45%. Lower ranges trail due to historical midterm base rates, but consolidation behind higher buckets could follow sustained Democratic motivation or GOP counter-mobilization ahead of June primaries and November's general election. Special election overperformance by Democrats further underscores competitive turnout dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트125-130m 27%
115-120m 16%
120-125m 12%
110-115m 12%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
<85m
<1%
85-90m
<1%
90-95m
1%
95-100m
1%
100-105m
1%
105-110m
5%
110-115m
12%
115-120m
16%
120-125m
18%
125-130m
27%
130m+
11%
125-130m 27%
115-120m 16%
120-125m 12%
110-115m 12%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
<85m
$324 거래량
<1%
85-90m
$419 거래량
<1%
90-95m
$1,552 거래량
1%
95-100m
$269 거래량
1%
100-105m
$791 거래량
1%
105-110m
$436 거래량
5%
110-115m
$526 거래량
12%
115-120m
$1,025 거래량
16%
120-125m
$408 거래량
18%
125-130m
$1,199 거래량
27%
130m+
$294 거래량
11%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus favors 125-130 million votes in the 2026 midterm House elections at 29%, reflecting record primary turnouts in states like Texas and North Carolina in March, where participation smashed recent midterm benchmarks and early voting exceeded 2022 levels. Democratic advantages in generic congressional ballot polling averages—leading by 5-14 points nationally per Nate Silver and Marist—signal heightened enthusiasm among key voting blocs amid President Trump's second term, positioning turnout near 2018's 49% peak rather than 2022's 45%. Lower ranges trail due to historical midterm base rates, but consolidation behind higher buckets could follow sustained Democratic motivation or GOP counter-mobilization ahead of June primaries and November's general election. Special election overperformance by Democrats further underscores competitive turnout dynamics.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
마켓 개설일: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
거래량
$7,242종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus favors 125-130 million votes in the 2026 midterm House elections at 29%, reflecting record primary turnouts in states like Texas and North Carolina in March, where participation smashed recent midterm benchmarks and early voting exceeded 2022 levels. Democratic advantages in generic congressional ballot polling averages—leading by 5-14 points nationally per Nate Silver and Marist—signal heightened enthusiasm among key voting blocs amid President Trump's second term, positioning turnout near 2018's 49% peak rather than 2022's 45%. Lower ranges trail due to historical midterm base rates, but consolidation behind higher buckets could follow sustained Democratic motivation or GOP counter-mobilization ahead of June primaries and November's general election. Special election overperformance by Democrats further underscores competitive turnout dynamics.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
거래량
$7,242종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 125-130 million votes in the 2026 midterm House elections at 29%, reflecting record primary turnouts in states like Texas and North Carolina in March, where participation smashed recent midterm benchmarks and early voting exceeded 2022 levels. Democratic advantages in generic congressional ballot polling averages—leading by 5-14 points nationally per Nate Silver and Marist—signal heightened enthusiasm among key voting blocs amid President Trump's second term, positioning turnout near 2018's 49% peak rather than 2022's 45%. Lower ranges trail due to historical midterm base rates, but consolidation behind higher buckets could follow sustained Democratic motivation or GOP counter-mobilization ahead of June primaries and November's general election. Special election overperformance by Democrats further underscores competitive turnout dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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