Incumbent Sen. James Lankford holds the other Oklahoma seat, but this open Class II contest stems from Markwayne Mullin's March 2026 resignation to become DHS secretary, with Alan Armstrong appointed as interim and ineligible to run. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Republican reflects Oklahoma's deep-red partisan lean—GOP landslides in prior Senate races—and frontrunner Rep. Kevin Hern's dominance in the June 16 primary, bolstered by Donald Trump's endorsement, $8 million cash-on-hand, and backing from Sens. Lankford and Thune. Democrats face a fragmented field with minimal fundraising. No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted odds; challenges would require a weak GOP nominee from primary upset, nominee scandal, or extraordinary national Democratic surge.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$13,481 거래량
$13,481 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
93%
민주당
6%
$13,481 거래량
$13,481 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$8,234 거래량
93%
민주당
$5,247 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. James Lankford holds the other Oklahoma seat, but this open Class II contest stems from Markwayne Mullin's March 2026 resignation to become DHS secretary, with Alan Armstrong appointed as interim and ineligible to run. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Republican reflects Oklahoma's deep-red partisan lean—GOP landslides in prior Senate races—and frontrunner Rep. Kevin Hern's dominance in the June 16 primary, bolstered by Donald Trump's endorsement, $8 million cash-on-hand, and backing from Sens. Lankford and Thune. Democrats face a fragmented field with minimal fundraising. No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted odds; challenges would require a weak GOP nominee from primary upset, nominee scandal, or extraordinary national Democratic surge.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
거래량
$13,481종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. James Lankford holds the other Oklahoma seat, but this open Class II contest stems from Markwayne Mullin's March 2026 resignation to become DHS secretary, with Alan Armstrong appointed as interim and ineligible to run. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Republican reflects Oklahoma's deep-red partisan lean—GOP landslides in prior Senate races—and frontrunner Rep. Kevin Hern's dominance in the June 16 primary, bolstered by Donald Trump's endorsement, $8 million cash-on-hand, and backing from Sens. Lankford and Thune. Democrats face a fragmented field with minimal fundraising. No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted odds; challenges would require a weak GOP nominee from primary upset, nominee scandal, or extraordinary national Democratic surge.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$13,481종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sen. James Lankford holds the other Oklahoma seat, but this open Class II contest stems from Markwayne Mullin's March 2026 resignation to become DHS secretary, with Alan Armstrong appointed as interim and ineligible to run. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Republican reflects Oklahoma's deep-red partisan lean—GOP landslides in prior Senate races—and frontrunner Rep. Kevin Hern's dominance in the June 16 primary, bolstered by Donald Trump's endorsement, $8 million cash-on-hand, and backing from Sens. Lankford and Thune. Democrats face a fragmented field with minimal fundraising. No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted odds; challenges would require a weak GOP nominee from primary upset, nominee scandal, or extraordinary national Democratic surge.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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