The June 2 top-two primary in California's 22nd congressional district sets the stage for the November general election in this Central Valley seat redrawn to a near-even partisan balance. Incumbent Republican David Valadao faces Democrats Jasmeet Bains and Randy Villegas, with a late May poll showing Valadao at 44 percent, Villegas at 25 percent, and Bains at 21 percent among likely voters. This split Democratic vote and the district's recent history of narrow margins inform trader views on which party secures the seat, alongside factors such as candidate fundraising, endorsements, and turnout patterns typical of competitive House races. The current market pricing reflects these dynamics without assuming any specific outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
65%
Republican Party
33%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$380 거래량
65%
Republican Party
$89 거래량
33%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The June 2 top-two primary in California's 22nd congressional district sets the stage for the November general election in this Central Valley seat redrawn to a near-even partisan balance. Incumbent Republican David Valadao faces Democrats Jasmeet Bains and Randy Villegas, with a late May poll showing Valadao at 44 percent, Villegas at 25 percent, and Bains at 21 percent among likely voters. This split Democratic vote and the district's recent history of narrow margins inform trader views on which party secures the seat, alongside factors such as candidate fundraising, endorsements, and turnout patterns typical of competitive House races. The current market pricing reflects these dynamics without assuming any specific outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Nov 25, 2025, 2:23 PM ET
거래량
$468종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Nov 25, 2025, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The June 2 top-two primary in California's 22nd congressional district sets the stage for the November general election in this Central Valley seat redrawn to a near-even partisan balance. Incumbent Republican David Valadao faces Democrats Jasmeet Bains and Randy Villegas, with a late May poll showing Valadao at 44 percent, Villegas at 25 percent, and Bains at 21 percent among likely voters. This split Democratic vote and the district's recent history of narrow margins inform trader views on which party secures the seat, alongside factors such as candidate fundraising, endorsements, and turnout patterns typical of competitive House races. The current market pricing reflects these dynamics without assuming any specific outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$468종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Nov 25, 2025, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The June 2 top-two primary in California's 22nd congressional district sets the stage for the November general election in this Central Valley seat redrawn to a near-even partisan balance. Incumbent Republican David Valadao faces Democrats Jasmeet Bains and Randy Villegas, with a late May poll showing Valadao at 44 percent, Villegas at 25 percent, and Bains at 21 percent among likely voters. This split Democratic vote and the district's recent history of narrow margins inform trader views on which party secures the seat, alongside factors such as candidate fundraising, endorsements, and turnout patterns typical of competitive House races. The current market pricing reflects these dynamics without assuming any specific outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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