Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte holds a clear polling edge in the 2026 New Hampshire governor race, driving trader consensus toward a Republican victory. Recent University of New Hampshire and Saint Anselm surveys show her leading likely Democratic nominee Cinde Warmington by eight points among likely voters, with Ayotte drawing strong party support and a plurality of independents. Warmington's February campaign launch has focused on cost-of-living and border issues, yet no major shifts have narrowed the gap in subsequent polling. With primaries set for September and the general election in November, Ayotte's first-term record and New Hampshire's moderate electorate continue to underpin the market's assessment of a likely Republican hold.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican
78%
Democrat
23%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican
$3,077 거래량
78%
Democrat
$5,121 거래량
23%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte holds a clear polling edge in the 2026 New Hampshire governor race, driving trader consensus toward a Republican victory. Recent University of New Hampshire and Saint Anselm surveys show her leading likely Democratic nominee Cinde Warmington by eight points among likely voters, with Ayotte drawing strong party support and a plurality of independents. Warmington's February campaign launch has focused on cost-of-living and border issues, yet no major shifts have narrowed the gap in subsequent polling. With primaries set for September and the general election in November, Ayotte's first-term record and New Hampshire's moderate electorate continue to underpin the market's assessment of a likely Republican hold.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ET
거래량
$8,198종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte holds a clear polling edge in the 2026 New Hampshire governor race, driving trader consensus toward a Republican victory. Recent University of New Hampshire and Saint Anselm surveys show her leading likely Democratic nominee Cinde Warmington by eight points among likely voters, with Ayotte drawing strong party support and a plurality of independents. Warmington's February campaign launch has focused on cost-of-living and border issues, yet no major shifts have narrowed the gap in subsequent polling. With primaries set for September and the general election in November, Ayotte's first-term record and New Hampshire's moderate electorate continue to underpin the market's assessment of a likely Republican hold.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$8,198종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte holds a clear polling edge in the 2026 New Hampshire governor race, driving trader consensus toward a Republican victory. Recent University of New Hampshire and Saint Anselm surveys show her leading likely Democratic nominee Cinde Warmington by eight points among likely voters, with Ayotte drawing strong party support and a plurality of independents. Warmington's February campaign launch has focused on cost-of-living and border issues, yet no major shifts have narrowed the gap in subsequent polling. With primaries set for September and the general election in November, Ayotte's first-term record and New Hampshire's moderate electorate continue to underpin the market's assessment of a likely Republican hold.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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