Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jon Ossoff holds commanding trader consensus at 83.5% implied probability to win Georgia's Senate race on November 3, driven by consistent polling leads over top Republican primary contenders like Reps. Mike Collins and Buddy Carter, and Derek Dooley, with recent Echelon Insights (April) and Emerson (March) surveys showing him ahead 47-52% to 41-44%. Ossoff's fundraising dominance—$81 million raised and $32 million cash on hand as of late April—dwarfs GOP rivals, while the fragmented Republican primary, where Collins leads aggregates at 28% amid 40% undecided voters, weakens the eventual nominee ahead of the May 19 contest. Ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball tilt Lean Democratic, reflecting incumbency edge in this battleground despite 2024's narrow Trump win. A stronger GOP nominee or scandal could shift dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$25,593 거래량
$25,593 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
84%
공화당
17%
$25,593 거래량
$25,593 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$9,321 거래량
84%
공화당
$16,272 거래량
17%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Georgia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jon Ossoff holds commanding trader consensus at 83.5% implied probability to win Georgia's Senate race on November 3, driven by consistent polling leads over top Republican primary contenders like Reps. Mike Collins and Buddy Carter, and Derek Dooley, with recent Echelon Insights (April) and Emerson (March) surveys showing him ahead 47-52% to 41-44%. Ossoff's fundraising dominance—$81 million raised and $32 million cash on hand as of late April—dwarfs GOP rivals, while the fragmented Republican primary, where Collins leads aggregates at 28% amid 40% undecided voters, weakens the eventual nominee ahead of the May 19 contest. Ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball tilt Lean Democratic, reflecting incumbency edge in this battleground despite 2024's narrow Trump win. A stronger GOP nominee or scandal could shift dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Georgia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
거래량
$25,593종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Georgia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jon Ossoff holds commanding trader consensus at 83.5% implied probability to win Georgia's Senate race on November 3, driven by consistent polling leads over top Republican primary contenders like Reps. Mike Collins and Buddy Carter, and Derek Dooley, with recent Echelon Insights (April) and Emerson (March) surveys showing him ahead 47-52% to 41-44%. Ossoff's fundraising dominance—$81 million raised and $32 million cash on hand as of late April—dwarfs GOP rivals, while the fragmented Republican primary, where Collins leads aggregates at 28% amid 40% undecided voters, weakens the eventual nominee ahead of the May 19 contest. Ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball tilt Lean Democratic, reflecting incumbency edge in this battleground despite 2024's narrow Trump win. A stronger GOP nominee or scandal could shift dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Georgia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$25,593종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jon Ossoff holds commanding trader consensus at 83.5% implied probability to win Georgia's Senate race on November 3, driven by consistent polling leads over top Republican primary contenders like Reps. Mike Collins and Buddy Carter, and Derek Dooley, with recent Echelon Insights (April) and Emerson (March) surveys showing him ahead 47-52% to 41-44%. Ossoff's fundraising dominance—$81 million raised and $32 million cash on hand as of late April—dwarfs GOP rivals, while the fragmented Republican primary, where Collins leads aggregates at 28% amid 40% undecided voters, weakens the eventual nominee ahead of the May 19 contest. Ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball tilt Lean Democratic, reflecting incumbency edge in this battleground despite 2024's narrow Trump win. A stronger GOP nominee or scandal could shift dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문