Tennessee's entrenched Republican advantage and the re-election bid of incumbent Senator Bill Hagerty anchor the current trader consensus favoring the GOP by a wide margin. The state has not elected a Democratic senator since 1990, and forecasters rate the contest as safe or solid Republican based on consistent voting patterns, strong incumbent fundraising, and limited opposition. Primary elections scheduled for August 2026 are not expected to produce competitive challenges. While national midterm dynamics or unexpected events such as scandals or health developments could theoretically shift sentiment, the structural and historical factors make a Democratic victory highly improbable under present conditions.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$19,136 거래량
$19,136 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
96%
민주당
5%
$19,136 거래량
$19,136 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$10,590 거래량
96%
민주당
$8,546 거래량
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tennessee's entrenched Republican advantage and the re-election bid of incumbent Senator Bill Hagerty anchor the current trader consensus favoring the GOP by a wide margin. The state has not elected a Democratic senator since 1990, and forecasters rate the contest as safe or solid Republican based on consistent voting patterns, strong incumbent fundraising, and limited opposition. Primary elections scheduled for August 2026 are not expected to produce competitive challenges. While national midterm dynamics or unexpected events such as scandals or health developments could theoretically shift sentiment, the structural and historical factors make a Democratic victory highly improbable under present conditions.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
거래량
$19,136종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tennessee's entrenched Republican advantage and the re-election bid of incumbent Senator Bill Hagerty anchor the current trader consensus favoring the GOP by a wide margin. The state has not elected a Democratic senator since 1990, and forecasters rate the contest as safe or solid Republican based on consistent voting patterns, strong incumbent fundraising, and limited opposition. Primary elections scheduled for August 2026 are not expected to produce competitive challenges. While national midterm dynamics or unexpected events such as scandals or health developments could theoretically shift sentiment, the structural and historical factors make a Democratic victory highly improbable under present conditions.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$19,136종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's entrenched Republican advantage and the re-election bid of incumbent Senator Bill Hagerty anchor the current trader consensus favoring the GOP by a wide margin. The state has not elected a Democratic senator since 1990, and forecasters rate the contest as safe or solid Republican based on consistent voting patterns, strong incumbent fundraising, and limited opposition. Primary elections scheduled for August 2026 are not expected to produce competitive challenges. While national midterm dynamics or unexpected events such as scandals or health developments could theoretically shift sentiment, the structural and historical factors make a Democratic victory highly improbable under present conditions.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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