Republicans hold limited opportunities to win Senate or gubernatorial seats in the 2024 Harris-won states, primarily the Maine Senate seat held by Susan Collins, plus governorships in New Hampshire and Vermont. Trader consensus around 2 wins reflects these structural realities, with early 2026 ratings showing Maine as competitive and the New England governorships as Republican-leaning due to incumbency advantages. The close spread to higher outcomes like 5 or 6+ stems from uncertainty over candidate recruitment, primary results, and potential ticket-splitting in a midterm environment. Separation could emerge from shifts in national polling trends, retirement announcements, or late-cycle developments in these low-volume battlegrounds ahead of November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트How many Senate and Governor elections will Republicans win in states won by Kamala?
How many Senate and Governor elections will Republicans win in states won by Kamala?
2 49%
5 45%
6+ 45%
1 45%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
0
44%
1
45%
2
49%
3
45%
4
24%
5
45%
6+
45%
2 49%
5 45%
6+ 45%
1 45%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
0
$0 거래량
44%
1
$0 거래량
45%
2
$0 거래량
49%
3
$0 거래량
45%
4
$0 거래량
24%
5
$0 거래량
45%
6+
$0 거래량
45%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of US Senate and Gubernatorial elections won by the Republican Party in the 2026 midterm elections in states that were won by Kamala Harris in the 2024 US Presidential Election.
This market will resolve based on the results of all relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A Senate candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the relevant elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the relevant Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
A gubernatorial candidate's party will only be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Republicans hold limited opportunities to win Senate or gubernatorial seats in the 2024 Harris-won states, primarily the Maine Senate seat held by Susan Collins, plus governorships in New Hampshire and Vermont. Trader consensus around 2 wins reflects these structural realities, with early 2026 ratings showing Maine as competitive and the New England governorships as Republican-leaning due to incumbency advantages. The close spread to higher outcomes like 5 or 6+ stems from uncertainty over candidate recruitment, primary results, and potential ticket-splitting in a midterm environment. Separation could emerge from shifts in national polling trends, retirement announcements, or late-cycle developments in these low-volume battlegrounds ahead of November.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of US Senate and Gubernatorial elections won by the Republican Party in the 2026 midterm elections in states that were won by Kamala Harris in the 2024 US Presidential Election.
This market will resolve based on the results of all relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A Senate candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the relevant elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the relevant Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
A gubernatorial candidate's party will only be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the number of US Senate and Gubernatorial elections won by the Republican Party in the 2026 midterm elections in states that were won by Kamala Harris in the 2024 US Presidential Election.
This market will resolve based on the results of all relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A Senate candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the relevant elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the relevant Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
A gubernatorial candidate's party will only be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Jul 2, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
거래량
$0종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jul 2, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of US Senate and Gubernatorial elections won by the Republican Party in the 2026 midterm elections in states that were won by Kamala Harris in the 2024 US Presidential Election.
This market will resolve based on the results of all relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A Senate candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the relevant elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the relevant Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
A gubernatorial candidate's party will only be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Republicans hold limited opportunities to win Senate or gubernatorial seats in the 2024 Harris-won states, primarily the Maine Senate seat held by Susan Collins, plus governorships in New Hampshire and Vermont. Trader consensus around 2 wins reflects these structural realities, with early 2026 ratings showing Maine as competitive and the New England governorships as Republican-leaning due to incumbency advantages. The close spread to higher outcomes like 5 or 6+ stems from uncertainty over candidate recruitment, primary results, and potential ticket-splitting in a midterm environment. Separation could emerge from shifts in national polling trends, retirement announcements, or late-cycle developments in these low-volume battlegrounds ahead of November.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of US Senate and Gubernatorial elections won by the Republican Party in the 2026 midterm elections in states that were won by Kamala Harris in the 2024 US Presidential Election.
This market will resolve based on the results of all relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A Senate candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the relevant elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the relevant Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
A gubernatorial candidate's party will only be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the number of US Senate and Gubernatorial elections won by the Republican Party in the 2026 midterm elections in states that were won by Kamala Harris in the 2024 US Presidential Election.
This market will resolve based on the results of all relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A Senate candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the relevant elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the relevant Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
A gubernatorial candidate's party will only be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$0종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jul 2, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Republicans hold limited opportunities to win Senate or gubernatorial seats in the 2024 Harris-won states, primarily the Maine Senate seat held by Susan Collins, plus governorships in New Hampshire and Vermont. Trader consensus around 2 wins reflects these structural realities, with early 2026 ratings showing Maine as competitive and the New England governorships as Republican-leaning due to incumbency advantages. The close spread to higher outcomes like 5 or 6+ stems from uncertainty over candidate recruitment, primary results, and potential ticket-splitting in a midterm environment. Separation could emerge from shifts in national polling trends, retirement announcements, or late-cycle developments in these low-volume battlegrounds ahead of November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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