Trader consensus favors a Democratic gubernatorial win at 64% in Iowa's open-seat race, driven by recent polls showing Auditor Rob Sand leading Rep. Randy Feenstra and other Republicans by 8-12 points in April surveys from GBAO and Echelon Insights. The Cook Political Report shifted the contest to toss-up status on April 9, citing Democratic momentum amid term-limited Gov. Kim Reynolds' exit and a fragmented GOP primary field lacking her endorsement. Sand holds a massive fundraising edge, while a May 3 legislative bill curbed future governors' emergency powers, highlighting Republican anxieties. The June 2 primaries loom as the next catalyst, with five Republicans vying for their nomination.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$36,067 거래량
$36,067 거래량

민주당
64%

공화당
31%
$36,067 거래량
$36,067 거래량

민주당
64%

공화당
31%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors a Democratic gubernatorial win at 64% in Iowa's open-seat race, driven by recent polls showing Auditor Rob Sand leading Rep. Randy Feenstra and other Republicans by 8-12 points in April surveys from GBAO and Echelon Insights. The Cook Political Report shifted the contest to toss-up status on April 9, citing Democratic momentum amid term-limited Gov. Kim Reynolds' exit and a fragmented GOP primary field lacking her endorsement. Sand holds a massive fundraising edge, while a May 3 legislative bill curbed future governors' emergency powers, highlighting Republican anxieties. The June 2 primaries loom as the next catalyst, with five Republicans vying for their nomination.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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