Former Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb commands overwhelming trader consensus at 95% implied probability to win Arizona's 5th Congressional District Republican primary on July 21, 2026, following incumbent Andy Biggs' decision not to seek re-election. His position stems from President Trump's November 2025 endorsement, consistent polling leads—including a December internal survey showing a massive margin—and superior fundraising amid a crowded field featuring state Rep. Travis Grantham and ex-NFL kicker Jay Feely. Lamb's name recognition from prior statewide bids bolsters his frontrunner status in this solidly Republican East Valley district. Upsets remain possible via scandals, health issues, or late endorsements shifting conservative voter turnout, though barriers appear high with two months remaining.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트마크 램 95.2%
트래비스 그랜섬 2.9%
Jay Feely <1%
$47,624 거래량
$47,624 거래량
2026.08.04
마크 램
95%
트래비스 그랜섬
3%
Jay Feely
<1%
마크 램 95.2%
트래비스 그랜섬 2.9%
Jay Feely <1%
$47,624 거래량
$47,624 거래량
2026.08.04
마크 램
$4,405 거래량
95%
트래비스 그랜섬
$1,365 거래량
3%
Jay Feely
$41,854 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb commands overwhelming trader consensus at 95% implied probability to win Arizona's 5th Congressional District Republican primary on July 21, 2026, following incumbent Andy Biggs' decision not to seek re-election. His position stems from President Trump's November 2025 endorsement, consistent polling leads—including a December internal survey showing a massive margin—and superior fundraising amid a crowded field featuring state Rep. Travis Grantham and ex-NFL kicker Jay Feely. Lamb's name recognition from prior statewide bids bolsters his frontrunner status in this solidly Republican East Valley district. Upsets remain possible via scandals, health issues, or late endorsements shifting conservative voter turnout, though barriers appear high with two months remaining.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
마켓 개설일: Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
거래량
$47,624종료일
2026.08.04마켓 개설일
Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb commands overwhelming trader consensus at 95% implied probability to win Arizona's 5th Congressional District Republican primary on July 21, 2026, following incumbent Andy Biggs' decision not to seek re-election. His position stems from President Trump's November 2025 endorsement, consistent polling leads—including a December internal survey showing a massive margin—and superior fundraising amid a crowded field featuring state Rep. Travis Grantham and ex-NFL kicker Jay Feely. Lamb's name recognition from prior statewide bids bolsters his frontrunner status in this solidly Republican East Valley district. Upsets remain possible via scandals, health issues, or late endorsements shifting conservative voter turnout, though barriers appear high with two months remaining.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
거래량
$47,624종료일
2026.08.04마켓 개설일
Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb commands overwhelming trader consensus at 95% implied probability to win Arizona's 5th Congressional District Republican primary on July 21, 2026, following incumbent Andy Biggs' decision not to seek re-election. His position stems from President Trump's November 2025 endorsement, consistent polling leads—including a December internal survey showing a massive margin—and superior fundraising amid a crowded field featuring state Rep. Travis Grantham and ex-NFL kicker Jay Feely. Lamb's name recognition from prior statewide bids bolsters his frontrunner status in this solidly Republican East Valley district. Upsets remain possible via scandals, health issues, or late endorsements shifting conservative voter turnout, though barriers appear high with two months remaining.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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