Recent polling in the crowded NY-12 Democratic primary shows a tight contest between frontrunners Micah Lasher and Alex Bores, with Lasher holding narrow leads or statistical ties in surveys from Emerson and Siena/AARP among likely voters and older demographics, while Bores edges some earlier internal polls. High undecided shares near 20-32% and a June 23 primary date leave room for late shifts driven by turnout in Manhattan neighborhoods, endorsements such as Nadler's for Lasher, and debates highlighting differences on housing affordability and technology policy. Traders price small victory margins or uncertain outcomes highest, reflecting the race's competitiveness between the two assembly members and limited separation from other contenders like Jack Schlossberg in head-to-head positioning.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Lasher 5% 미만 28%
Lasher 5–10% 27%
보어스 <5% 25%
Lasher 10~15% 13%
신규
신규
2026.06.24
Lasher 15%+
5%
Lasher 10~15%
13%
Lasher 5–10%
27%
Lasher 5% 미만
28%
보어스 5%+
5%
보어스 <5%
25%
슐로스버그 승리
7%
Lasher 5% 미만 28%
Lasher 5–10% 27%
보어스 <5% 25%
Lasher 10~15% 13%
신규
신규
2026.06.24
Lasher 15%+
$74 거래량
5%
Lasher 10~15%
$65 거래량
13%
Lasher 5–10%
$140 거래량
27%
Lasher 5% 미만
$102 거래량
28%
보어스 5%+
$88 거래량
5%
보어스 <5%
$61 거래량
25%
슐로스버그 승리
$104 거래량
7%
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Recent polling in the crowded NY-12 Democratic primary shows a tight contest between frontrunners Micah Lasher and Alex Bores, with Lasher holding narrow leads or statistical ties in surveys from Emerson and Siena/AARP among likely voters and older demographics, while Bores edges some earlier internal polls. High undecided shares near 20-32% and a June 23 primary date leave room for late shifts driven by turnout in Manhattan neighborhoods, endorsements such as Nadler's for Lasher, and debates highlighting differences on housing affordability and technology policy. Traders price small victory margins or uncertain outcomes highest, reflecting the race's competitiveness between the two assembly members and limited separation from other contenders like Jack Schlossberg in head-to-head positioning.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
마켓 개설일: Jun 15, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
거래량
$633종료일
2026.06.24마켓 개설일
Jun 15, 2026, 2:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Recent polling in the crowded NY-12 Democratic primary shows a tight contest between frontrunners Micah Lasher and Alex Bores, with Lasher holding narrow leads or statistical ties in surveys from Emerson and Siena/AARP among likely voters and older demographics, while Bores edges some earlier internal polls. High undecided shares near 20-32% and a June 23 primary date leave room for late shifts driven by turnout in Manhattan neighborhoods, endorsements such as Nadler's for Lasher, and debates highlighting differences on housing affordability and technology policy. Traders price small victory margins or uncertain outcomes highest, reflecting the race's competitiveness between the two assembly members and limited separation from other contenders like Jack Schlossberg in head-to-head positioning.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
거래량
$633종료일
2026.06.24마켓 개설일
Jun 15, 2026, 2:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in the crowded NY-12 Democratic primary shows a tight contest between frontrunners Micah Lasher and Alex Bores, with Lasher holding narrow leads or statistical ties in surveys from Emerson and Siena/AARP among likely voters and older demographics, while Bores edges some earlier internal polls. High undecided shares near 20-32% and a June 23 primary date leave room for late shifts driven by turnout in Manhattan neighborhoods, endorsements such as Nadler's for Lasher, and debates highlighting differences on housing affordability and technology policy. Traders price small victory margins or uncertain outcomes highest, reflecting the race's competitiveness between the two assembly members and limited separation from other contenders like Jack Schlossberg in head-to-head positioning.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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