Wisconsin's open 2026 gubernatorial race features a crowded Democratic primary on August 11 with candidates including Mandela Barnes, Sara Rodriguez, Francesca Hong, and David Crowley, while Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany holds the party endorsement. The general election is rated a toss-up by forecasters, yet trader consensus assigns Democrats an elevated probability due to the state's recent electoral patterns favoring the party in statewide contests, the strong name recognition and fundraising among leading Democratic contenders, and the absence of an incumbent. Recent filing deadlines and early polling showing competitive general-election matchups have reinforced positioning without shifting the implied edge. Key upcoming catalysts include primary results and any shifts in candidate momentum ahead of November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Wisconsin Governor Election Winner
Wisconsin Governor Election Winner
$70,585 거래량
$70,585 거래량
2026.11.03
Democrat
77%
Republican
21%
$70,585 거래량
$70,585 거래량
2026.11.03
Democrat
$12,873 거래량
77%
Republican
$57,713 거래량
21%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wisconsin's open 2026 gubernatorial race features a crowded Democratic primary on August 11 with candidates including Mandela Barnes, Sara Rodriguez, Francesca Hong, and David Crowley, while Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany holds the party endorsement. The general election is rated a toss-up by forecasters, yet trader consensus assigns Democrats an elevated probability due to the state's recent electoral patterns favoring the party in statewide contests, the strong name recognition and fundraising among leading Democratic contenders, and the absence of an incumbent. Recent filing deadlines and early polling showing competitive general-election matchups have reinforced positioning without shifting the implied edge. Key upcoming catalysts include primary results and any shifts in candidate momentum ahead of November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
거래량
$70,585종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wisconsin's open 2026 gubernatorial race features a crowded Democratic primary on August 11 with candidates including Mandela Barnes, Sara Rodriguez, Francesca Hong, and David Crowley, while Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany holds the party endorsement. The general election is rated a toss-up by forecasters, yet trader consensus assigns Democrats an elevated probability due to the state's recent electoral patterns favoring the party in statewide contests, the strong name recognition and fundraising among leading Democratic contenders, and the absence of an incumbent. Recent filing deadlines and early polling showing competitive general-election matchups have reinforced positioning without shifting the implied edge. Key upcoming catalysts include primary results and any shifts in candidate momentum ahead of November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$70,585종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin's open 2026 gubernatorial race features a crowded Democratic primary on August 11 with candidates including Mandela Barnes, Sara Rodriguez, Francesca Hong, and David Crowley, while Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany holds the party endorsement. The general election is rated a toss-up by forecasters, yet trader consensus assigns Democrats an elevated probability due to the state's recent electoral patterns favoring the party in statewide contests, the strong name recognition and fundraising among leading Democratic contenders, and the absence of an incumbent. Recent filing deadlines and early polling showing competitive general-election matchups have reinforced positioning without shifting the implied edge. Key upcoming catalysts include primary results and any shifts in candidate momentum ahead of November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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