Incumbent Republican Senator Tom Cotton secured his party's nomination with a strong primary performance, facing Democratic nominee Hallie Shoffner in November. Arkansas's deep Republican lean, evidenced by consistent double-digit margins in recent Senate contests and statewide voting patterns, underpins trader consensus around a Republican victory. A recent poll indicated Cotton ahead by 22 points, aligning with the state's historical support for Republican candidates in federal races. While national political developments or late-campaign events could introduce shifts, structural factors like incumbency and partisan registration trends continue to anchor expectations for the general election outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$10,561 거래량
$10,561 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican
95%
Democrat
3%
$10,561 거래량
$10,561 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican
$7,677 거래량
95%
Democrat
$2,884 거래량
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Senator Tom Cotton secured his party's nomination with a strong primary performance, facing Democratic nominee Hallie Shoffner in November. Arkansas's deep Republican lean, evidenced by consistent double-digit margins in recent Senate contests and statewide voting patterns, underpins trader consensus around a Republican victory. A recent poll indicated Cotton ahead by 22 points, aligning with the state's historical support for Republican candidates in federal races. While national political developments or late-campaign events could introduce shifts, structural factors like incumbency and partisan registration trends continue to anchor expectations for the general election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
거래량
$10,561종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Senator Tom Cotton secured his party's nomination with a strong primary performance, facing Democratic nominee Hallie Shoffner in November. Arkansas's deep Republican lean, evidenced by consistent double-digit margins in recent Senate contests and statewide voting patterns, underpins trader consensus around a Republican victory. A recent poll indicated Cotton ahead by 22 points, aligning with the state's historical support for Republican candidates in federal races. While national political developments or late-campaign events could introduce shifts, structural factors like incumbency and partisan registration trends continue to anchor expectations for the general election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$10,561종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Senator Tom Cotton secured his party's nomination with a strong primary performance, facing Democratic nominee Hallie Shoffner in November. Arkansas's deep Republican lean, evidenced by consistent double-digit margins in recent Senate contests and statewide voting patterns, underpins trader consensus around a Republican victory. A recent poll indicated Cotton ahead by 22 points, aligning with the state's historical support for Republican candidates in federal races. While national political developments or late-campaign events could introduce shifts, structural factors like incumbency and partisan registration trends continue to anchor expectations for the general election outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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