Incumbent Democrat Kathy Hochul maintains a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race against Republican Bruce Blakeman, with trader consensus reflecting her consistent double-digit polling leads in a deep-blue state. A Siena College poll released May 5 showed Hochul ahead 49%-33% among registered voters, expanding her margin from March surveys despite softer approval ratings, as Blakeman struggles with low statewide name recognition outside Nassau County. New York's lack of a Republican governor since 2006, incumbency advantage, and Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report underpin the lopsided odds. Primaries were canceled unopposed on June 23; the race heads to November 3, where a major scandal, economic downturn, or national GOP wave could theoretically shift dynamics, though recent trends suggest stability.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$53,216 거래량
$53,216 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
92%
공화당
9%
$53,216 거래량
$53,216 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$26,927 거래량
92%
공화당
$26,289 거래량
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Kathy Hochul maintains a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race against Republican Bruce Blakeman, with trader consensus reflecting her consistent double-digit polling leads in a deep-blue state. A Siena College poll released May 5 showed Hochul ahead 49%-33% among registered voters, expanding her margin from March surveys despite softer approval ratings, as Blakeman struggles with low statewide name recognition outside Nassau County. New York's lack of a Republican governor since 2006, incumbency advantage, and Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report underpin the lopsided odds. Primaries were canceled unopposed on June 23; the race heads to November 3, where a major scandal, economic downturn, or national GOP wave could theoretically shift dynamics, though recent trends suggest stability.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
거래량
$53,216종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Kathy Hochul maintains a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race against Republican Bruce Blakeman, with trader consensus reflecting her consistent double-digit polling leads in a deep-blue state. A Siena College poll released May 5 showed Hochul ahead 49%-33% among registered voters, expanding her margin from March surveys despite softer approval ratings, as Blakeman struggles with low statewide name recognition outside Nassau County. New York's lack of a Republican governor since 2006, incumbency advantage, and Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report underpin the lopsided odds. Primaries were canceled unopposed on June 23; the race heads to November 3, where a major scandal, economic downturn, or national GOP wave could theoretically shift dynamics, though recent trends suggest stability.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$53,216종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Kathy Hochul maintains a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race against Republican Bruce Blakeman, with trader consensus reflecting her consistent double-digit polling leads in a deep-blue state. A Siena College poll released May 5 showed Hochul ahead 49%-33% among registered voters, expanding her margin from March surveys despite softer approval ratings, as Blakeman struggles with low statewide name recognition outside Nassau County. New York's lack of a Republican governor since 2006, incumbency advantage, and Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report underpin the lopsided odds. Primaries were canceled unopposed on June 23; the race heads to November 3, where a major scandal, economic downturn, or national GOP wave could theoretically shift dynamics, though recent trends suggest stability.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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