Kentucky's strong Republican tilt in federal elections, evidenced by consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, anchors the market's heavy lean toward a Republican winner for the open Senate seat vacated by Mitch McConnell. Analysts rate the race as solidly Republican ahead of the May 19 primaries, where U.S. Representative Andy Barr leads a crowded GOP field that includes former Attorney General Daniel Cameron. Democratic contenders such as Charles Booker and Amy McGrath face structural headwinds in a state President Trump carried by roughly 30 points in 2024. A Republican general-election nominee would likely consolidate support quickly, though shifts could arise from an unusually strong Democratic turnout effort or unforeseen primary surprises that weaken the eventual GOP standard-bearer.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican
95%
Democrat
4%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican
$3,826 거래량
95%
Democrat
$4,323 거래량
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kentucky's strong Republican tilt in federal elections, evidenced by consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, anchors the market's heavy lean toward a Republican winner for the open Senate seat vacated by Mitch McConnell. Analysts rate the race as solidly Republican ahead of the May 19 primaries, where U.S. Representative Andy Barr leads a crowded GOP field that includes former Attorney General Daniel Cameron. Democratic contenders such as Charles Booker and Amy McGrath face structural headwinds in a state President Trump carried by roughly 30 points in 2024. A Republican general-election nominee would likely consolidate support quickly, though shifts could arise from an unusually strong Democratic turnout effort or unforeseen primary surprises that weaken the eventual GOP standard-bearer.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
거래량
$8,149종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kentucky's strong Republican tilt in federal elections, evidenced by consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, anchors the market's heavy lean toward a Republican winner for the open Senate seat vacated by Mitch McConnell. Analysts rate the race as solidly Republican ahead of the May 19 primaries, where U.S. Representative Andy Barr leads a crowded GOP field that includes former Attorney General Daniel Cameron. Democratic contenders such as Charles Booker and Amy McGrath face structural headwinds in a state President Trump carried by roughly 30 points in 2024. A Republican general-election nominee would likely consolidate support quickly, though shifts could arise from an unusually strong Democratic turnout effort or unforeseen primary surprises that weaken the eventual GOP standard-bearer.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$8,149종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kentucky's strong Republican tilt in federal elections, evidenced by consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, anchors the market's heavy lean toward a Republican winner for the open Senate seat vacated by Mitch McConnell. Analysts rate the race as solidly Republican ahead of the May 19 primaries, where U.S. Representative Andy Barr leads a crowded GOP field that includes former Attorney General Daniel Cameron. Democratic contenders such as Charles Booker and Amy McGrath face structural headwinds in a state President Trump carried by roughly 30 points in 2024. A Republican general-election nominee would likely consolidate support quickly, though shifts could arise from an unusually strong Democratic turnout effort or unforeseen primary surprises that weaken the eventual GOP standard-bearer.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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