Incumbent Republican Nick Begich faces a crowded nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18, 2026, for Alaska’s at-large House seat, with the top finishers advancing to the ranked-choice general election. Begich’s strong 2024 victory and consistent polling leads position him as the clear frontrunner among traders, while the field includes Democratic challengers such as pastor Matt Schultz and perennial candidate Eric Hafner, plus independents like commercial fisherman Bill Hill. Candidate filing remains open until the June 27 withdrawal deadline, after which the ballot will finalize; former Rep. Mary Peltola’s decision to run for Senate instead of challenging again has further consolidated Republican support behind the incumbent. Recent surveys show Begich maintaining double-digit advantages in head-to-head and multicandidate scenarios, reflecting limited organized opposition and Alaska’s partisan leanings.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$11,001 거래량
2026.08.18
Nick Begich III
95%
Matt Schultz
91%
Bill Hill
89%
John Williams
50%
Gavin Solomon
25%
매튜 "브롱코" 윌리엄스
24%
$11,001 거래량
Nick Begich III
$979 거래량
95%
Matt Schultz
$439 거래량
91%
Bill Hill
$2,927 거래량
89%
John Williams
$1,937 거래량
50%
Gavin Solomon
$2,187 거래량
25%
매튜 "브롱코" 윌리엄스
$2,532 거래량
24%
The non-partisan primary election for the Alaska At-Large Congressional District is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Representative from Alaska.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.Incumbent Republican Nick Begich faces a crowded nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18, 2026, for Alaska’s at-large House seat, with the top finishers advancing to the ranked-choice general election. Begich’s strong 2024 victory and consistent polling leads position him as the clear frontrunner among traders, while the field includes Democratic challengers such as pastor Matt Schultz and perennial candidate Eric Hafner, plus independents like commercial fisherman Bill Hill. Candidate filing remains open until the June 27 withdrawal deadline, after which the ballot will finalize; former Rep. Mary Peltola’s decision to run for Senate instead of challenging again has further consolidated Republican support behind the incumbent. Recent surveys show Begich maintaining double-digit advantages in head-to-head and multicandidate scenarios, reflecting limited organized opposition and Alaska’s partisan leanings.
The non-partisan primary election for the Alaska At-Large Congressional District is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Representative from Alaska.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
마켓 개설일: May 27, 2026, 10:09 AM ET
거래량
$11,001종료일
2026.08.18마켓 개설일
May 27, 2026, 10:09 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The non-partisan primary election for the Alaska At-Large Congressional District is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Representative from Alaska.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.Incumbent Republican Nick Begich faces a crowded nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18, 2026, for Alaska’s at-large House seat, with the top finishers advancing to the ranked-choice general election. Begich’s strong 2024 victory and consistent polling leads position him as the clear frontrunner among traders, while the field includes Democratic challengers such as pastor Matt Schultz and perennial candidate Eric Hafner, plus independents like commercial fisherman Bill Hill. Candidate filing remains open until the June 27 withdrawal deadline, after which the ballot will finalize; former Rep. Mary Peltola’s decision to run for Senate instead of challenging again has further consolidated Republican support behind the incumbent. Recent surveys show Begich maintaining double-digit advantages in head-to-head and multicandidate scenarios, reflecting limited organized opposition and Alaska’s partisan leanings.
The non-partisan primary election for the Alaska At-Large Congressional District is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Representative from Alaska.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
거래량
$11,001종료일
2026.08.18마켓 개설일
May 27, 2026, 10:09 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Republican Nick Begich faces a crowded nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18, 2026, for Alaska’s at-large House seat, with the top finishers advancing to the ranked-choice general election. Begich’s strong 2024 victory and consistent polling leads position him as the clear frontrunner among traders, while the field includes Democratic challengers such as pastor Matt Schultz and perennial candidate Eric Hafner, plus independents like commercial fisherman Bill Hill. Candidate filing remains open until the June 27 withdrawal deadline, after which the ballot will finalize; former Rep. Mary Peltola’s decision to run for Senate instead of challenging again has further consolidated Republican support behind the incumbent. Recent surveys show Begich maintaining double-digit advantages in head-to-head and multicandidate scenarios, reflecting limited organized opposition and Alaska’s partisan leanings.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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