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선거·미국 선거

알래스카 상원의원 선거 승리자

icon for 알래스카 상원의원 선거 승리자
선거·미국 선거

알래스카 상원의원 선거 승리자

메리 펠톨라 62%

댄 설리반 40%

더스틴 다든 <1%

앤 디너 <1%

Polymarket

$324,061 거래량

메리 펠톨라 62%

댄 설리반 40%

더스틴 다든 <1%

앤 디너 <1%

Polymarket

$324,061 거래량

icon for 메리 펠톨라

메리 펠톨라

$158,950 거래량

62%

icon for 댄 설리반

댄 설리반

$89,559 거래량

40%

icon for 더스틴 다든

더스틴 다든

$21,303 거래량

<1%

icon for 앤 디너

앤 디너

$33,723 거래량

<1%

icon for 리처드 그레이슨

리처드 그레이슨

$20,526 거래량

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Mary Peltola holds a clear edge in trader consensus for the Alaska Senate seat because recent polls from Alaska Survey Research show her leading incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan by 5–7 points, while her campaign posted a record $8.9 million in first-quarter receipts—more than four times Sullivan’s total. The former U.S. representative’s emphasis on affordability measures and federal tax relief has resonated amid voter economic concerns, and her strong performance in ranked-choice voting primaries and general-election modeling reinforces the position. Sullivan, seeking a third term, counters with an endorsement from former President Trump and backing from the state’s regional Native corporations, yet trails in both cash raised and current head-to-head surveys. The contest remains competitive heading into the August primary and November general election, with national implications for Senate control.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
거래량
$324,061
종료일
2026.11.03
마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Mary Peltola holds a clear edge in trader consensus for the Alaska Senate seat because recent polls from Alaska Survey Research show her leading incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan by 5–7 points, while her campaign posted a record $8.9 million in first-quarter receipts—more than four times Sullivan’s total. The former U.S. representative’s emphasis on affordability measures and federal tax relief has resonated amid voter economic concerns, and her strong performance in ranked-choice voting primaries and general-election modeling reinforces the position. Sullivan, seeking a third term, counters with an endorsement from former President Trump and backing from the state’s regional Native corporations, yet trails in both cash raised and current head-to-head surveys. The contest remains competitive heading into the August primary and November general election, with national implications for Senate control.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
거래량
$324,061
종료일
2026.11.03
마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

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자주 묻는 질문

"알래스카 상원의원 선거 승리자"은 5개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 62%의 "메리 펠톨라"이며, 이어서 40%의 "댄 설리반"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 62¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 62%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "알래스카 상원의원 선거 승리자"은 총 $324.1K의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Oct 13, 2025에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"알래스카 상원의원 선거 승리자"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 5개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"알래스카 상원의원 선거 승리자"의 현재 유력 후보는 62%의 "메리 펠톨라"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 62%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 40%의 "댄 설리반"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"알래스카 상원의원 선거 승리자"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.