Recent polls following the May 5 primaries show former Senator Sherrod Brown competitive against Republican appointee Jon Husted in Ohio's 2026 special Senate election, with an EMC Research survey from early May indicating Brown leading 51%-47%, boosting trader consensus to price Democrats at 59.5% likelihood of victory. Brown's strong name recognition and prior service contrast with Husted's first general election test as interim senator amid a vacancy, while earlier April polls like BGSU/YouGov (Husted 50%-47%) and Echelon Insights (51%-45%) highlighted a tight battleground. This closely contested matchup, diverging from some Republican-leaning forecasts, underscores midterm volatility, with the general election set for November 3, 2026, and national headwinds potentially tipping swing state dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$77,571 거래량
$77,571 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
59%
공화당
42%
$77,571 거래량
$77,571 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$45,312 거래량
59%
공화당
$32,259 거래량
42%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polls following the May 5 primaries show former Senator Sherrod Brown competitive against Republican appointee Jon Husted in Ohio's 2026 special Senate election, with an EMC Research survey from early May indicating Brown leading 51%-47%, boosting trader consensus to price Democrats at 59.5% likelihood of victory. Brown's strong name recognition and prior service contrast with Husted's first general election test as interim senator amid a vacancy, while earlier April polls like BGSU/YouGov (Husted 50%-47%) and Echelon Insights (51%-45%) highlighted a tight battleground. This closely contested matchup, diverging from some Republican-leaning forecasts, underscores midterm volatility, with the general election set for November 3, 2026, and national headwinds potentially tipping swing state dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ET
거래량
$77,571종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polls following the May 5 primaries show former Senator Sherrod Brown competitive against Republican appointee Jon Husted in Ohio's 2026 special Senate election, with an EMC Research survey from early May indicating Brown leading 51%-47%, boosting trader consensus to price Democrats at 59.5% likelihood of victory. Brown's strong name recognition and prior service contrast with Husted's first general election test as interim senator amid a vacancy, while earlier April polls like BGSU/YouGov (Husted 50%-47%) and Echelon Insights (51%-45%) highlighted a tight battleground. This closely contested matchup, diverging from some Republican-leaning forecasts, underscores midterm volatility, with the general election set for November 3, 2026, and national headwinds potentially tipping swing state dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$77,571종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls following the May 5 primaries show former Senator Sherrod Brown competitive against Republican appointee Jon Husted in Ohio's 2026 special Senate election, with an EMC Research survey from early May indicating Brown leading 51%-47%, boosting trader consensus to price Democrats at 59.5% likelihood of victory. Brown's strong name recognition and prior service contrast with Husted's first general election test as interim senator amid a vacancy, while earlier April polls like BGSU/YouGov (Husted 50%-47%) and Echelon Insights (51%-45%) highlighted a tight battleground. This closely contested matchup, diverging from some Republican-leaning forecasts, underscores midterm volatility, with the general election set for November 3, 2026, and national headwinds potentially tipping swing state dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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