Incumbent Sen. Tina Smith's retirement created an open Minnesota Senate seat rated Likely Democratic by forecasters, with trader consensus reflecting strong polling advantages for leading Democratic primary contenders Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and Rep. Angie Craig over fragmented Republican hopefuls like broadcaster Michele Tafoya. Recent surveys, including Public Policy Polling (April 29–30, 2026) showing Flanagan ahead in her primary and Emerson (February 2026) hypotheticals with Democrats up 7 points against Tafoya, underscore the state's DFL lean and GOP field weaknesses amid superior Democratic fundraising. With primaries on August 11, a contested DFL nomination or national Republican wave could narrow odds, though structural advantages favor Democrats holding the seat on November 3.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$23,149 거래량
$23,149 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
92%
공화당
6%
$23,149 거래량
$23,149 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$16,428 거래량
92%
공화당
$6,722 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Tina Smith's retirement created an open Minnesota Senate seat rated Likely Democratic by forecasters, with trader consensus reflecting strong polling advantages for leading Democratic primary contenders Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and Rep. Angie Craig over fragmented Republican hopefuls like broadcaster Michele Tafoya. Recent surveys, including Public Policy Polling (April 29–30, 2026) showing Flanagan ahead in her primary and Emerson (February 2026) hypotheticals with Democrats up 7 points against Tafoya, underscore the state's DFL lean and GOP field weaknesses amid superior Democratic fundraising. With primaries on August 11, a contested DFL nomination or national Republican wave could narrow odds, though structural advantages favor Democrats holding the seat on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
거래량
$23,149종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Tina Smith's retirement created an open Minnesota Senate seat rated Likely Democratic by forecasters, with trader consensus reflecting strong polling advantages for leading Democratic primary contenders Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and Rep. Angie Craig over fragmented Republican hopefuls like broadcaster Michele Tafoya. Recent surveys, including Public Policy Polling (April 29–30, 2026) showing Flanagan ahead in her primary and Emerson (February 2026) hypotheticals with Democrats up 7 points against Tafoya, underscore the state's DFL lean and GOP field weaknesses amid superior Democratic fundraising. With primaries on August 11, a contested DFL nomination or national Republican wave could narrow odds, though structural advantages favor Democrats holding the seat on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$23,149종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sen. Tina Smith's retirement created an open Minnesota Senate seat rated Likely Democratic by forecasters, with trader consensus reflecting strong polling advantages for leading Democratic primary contenders Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and Rep. Angie Craig over fragmented Republican hopefuls like broadcaster Michele Tafoya. Recent surveys, including Public Policy Polling (April 29–30, 2026) showing Flanagan ahead in her primary and Emerson (February 2026) hypotheticals with Democrats up 7 points against Tafoya, underscore the state's DFL lean and GOP field weaknesses amid superior Democratic fundraising. With primaries on August 11, a contested DFL nomination or national Republican wave could narrow odds, though structural advantages favor Democrats holding the seat on November 3.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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