Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott, who secured his party's nomination with 82% in the March 3 primary, maintains a solid lead over Democratic nominee Gina Hinojosa in recent polls, averaging 47.7% to 40.7% per RealClearPolling aggregates through late April. This edge, bolstered by Abbott's $106 million fundraising war chest announced in January and his May 6 release of the "2026 Report to the People" touting legislative wins, underpins trader consensus pricing Republicans as heavy favorites in the deep-red Texas governorship race. Late April surveys showed Hinojosa narrowing the gap amid focus on wages, but historical GOP dominance—uninterrupted since 1995—and race ratings as Solid Republican sustain the high implied probability ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$12,011 거래량
$12,011 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
80%
민주당
15%
$12,011 거래량
$12,011 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$5,869 거래량
80%
민주당
$6,142 거래량
15%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott, who secured his party's nomination with 82% in the March 3 primary, maintains a solid lead over Democratic nominee Gina Hinojosa in recent polls, averaging 47.7% to 40.7% per RealClearPolling aggregates through late April. This edge, bolstered by Abbott's $106 million fundraising war chest announced in January and his May 6 release of the "2026 Report to the People" touting legislative wins, underpins trader consensus pricing Republicans as heavy favorites in the deep-red Texas governorship race. Late April surveys showed Hinojosa narrowing the gap amid focus on wages, but historical GOP dominance—uninterrupted since 1995—and race ratings as Solid Republican sustain the high implied probability ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
거래량
$12,011종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott, who secured his party's nomination with 82% in the March 3 primary, maintains a solid lead over Democratic nominee Gina Hinojosa in recent polls, averaging 47.7% to 40.7% per RealClearPolling aggregates through late April. This edge, bolstered by Abbott's $106 million fundraising war chest announced in January and his May 6 release of the "2026 Report to the People" touting legislative wins, underpins trader consensus pricing Republicans as heavy favorites in the deep-red Texas governorship race. Late April surveys showed Hinojosa narrowing the gap amid focus on wages, but historical GOP dominance—uninterrupted since 1995—and race ratings as Solid Republican sustain the high implied probability ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$12,011종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott, who secured his party's nomination with 82% in the March 3 primary, maintains a solid lead over Democratic nominee Gina Hinojosa in recent polls, averaging 47.7% to 40.7% per RealClearPolling aggregates through late April. This edge, bolstered by Abbott's $106 million fundraising war chest announced in January and his May 6 release of the "2026 Report to the People" touting legislative wins, underpins trader consensus pricing Republicans as heavy favorites in the deep-red Texas governorship race. Late April surveys showed Hinojosa narrowing the gap amid focus on wages, but historical GOP dominance—uninterrupted since 1995—and race ratings as Solid Republican sustain the high implied probability ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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