Former Gov. Roy Cooper's commanding lead in recent North Carolina Senate polls drives trader consensus to an 84.5% implied probability for a Democratic victory in the open seat race against Republican Michael Whatley. Incumbent Sen. Thom Tillis's June 2025 retirement announcement created the vacancy, with both nominees emerging from March 3 primaries. A Harper Polling survey released May 14 shows Cooper ahead 50%-39%, building on April's Opinion Diagnostics +9 and March's double-digit margins, amid Cooper's superior name recognition from two gubernatorial terms. Though North Carolina is a perennial battleground with tight historical races, current polling averages reflect GOP challenges; upcoming debates and swing state turnout dynamics could shift odds before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$58,325 거래량
$58,325 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
85%
공화당
17%
$58,325 거래량
$58,325 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$24,125 거래량
85%
공화당
$34,200 거래량
17%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Former Gov. Roy Cooper's commanding lead in recent North Carolina Senate polls drives trader consensus to an 84.5% implied probability for a Democratic victory in the open seat race against Republican Michael Whatley. Incumbent Sen. Thom Tillis's June 2025 retirement announcement created the vacancy, with both nominees emerging from March 3 primaries. A Harper Polling survey released May 14 shows Cooper ahead 50%-39%, building on April's Opinion Diagnostics +9 and March's double-digit margins, amid Cooper's superior name recognition from two gubernatorial terms. Though North Carolina is a perennial battleground with tight historical races, current polling averages reflect GOP challenges; upcoming debates and swing state turnout dynamics could shift odds before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
거래량
$58,325종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Former Gov. Roy Cooper's commanding lead in recent North Carolina Senate polls drives trader consensus to an 84.5% implied probability for a Democratic victory in the open seat race against Republican Michael Whatley. Incumbent Sen. Thom Tillis's June 2025 retirement announcement created the vacancy, with both nominees emerging from March 3 primaries. A Harper Polling survey released May 14 shows Cooper ahead 50%-39%, building on April's Opinion Diagnostics +9 and March's double-digit margins, amid Cooper's superior name recognition from two gubernatorial terms. Though North Carolina is a perennial battleground with tight historical races, current polling averages reflect GOP challenges; upcoming debates and swing state turnout dynamics could shift odds before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$58,325종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former Gov. Roy Cooper's commanding lead in recent North Carolina Senate polls drives trader consensus to an 84.5% implied probability for a Democratic victory in the open seat race against Republican Michael Whatley. Incumbent Sen. Thom Tillis's June 2025 retirement announcement created the vacancy, with both nominees emerging from March 3 primaries. A Harper Polling survey released May 14 shows Cooper ahead 50%-39%, building on April's Opinion Diagnostics +9 and March's double-digit margins, amid Cooper's superior name recognition from two gubernatorial terms. Though North Carolina is a perennial battleground with tight historical races, current polling averages reflect GOP challenges; upcoming debates and swing state turnout dynamics could shift odds before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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