The open gubernatorial seat created by term limits for incumbent Democrat Gretchen Whitmer has positioned Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson as the clear frontrunner in Democratic primary polling ahead of the August 4 contest. Recent surveys from early May 2026 show Benson leading hypothetical general-election matchups against Republican contenders such as U.S. Representative John James and businessman Perry Johnson, as well as independent candidate and former Detroit Mayor Mike Duggan. These results, combined with Michigan’s recent pattern of Democratic victories in statewide races, underpin the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome. Key factors that could still shift probabilities include primary results, candidate fundraising, and any late shifts in voter turnout across battleground regions.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트민주당 71%
공화당 17%
무소속 15%
$180,997 거래량
$180,997 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
71%
공화당
17%
무소속
15%
민주당 71%
공화당 17%
무소속 15%
$180,997 거래량
$180,997 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$39,809 거래량
71%
공화당
$141,117 거래량
17%
무소속
$71 거래량
15%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open gubernatorial seat created by term limits for incumbent Democrat Gretchen Whitmer has positioned Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson as the clear frontrunner in Democratic primary polling ahead of the August 4 contest. Recent surveys from early May 2026 show Benson leading hypothetical general-election matchups against Republican contenders such as U.S. Representative John James and businessman Perry Johnson, as well as independent candidate and former Detroit Mayor Mike Duggan. These results, combined with Michigan’s recent pattern of Democratic victories in statewide races, underpin the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome. Key factors that could still shift probabilities include primary results, candidate fundraising, and any late shifts in voter turnout across battleground regions.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
거래량
$180,997종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open gubernatorial seat created by term limits for incumbent Democrat Gretchen Whitmer has positioned Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson as the clear frontrunner in Democratic primary polling ahead of the August 4 contest. Recent surveys from early May 2026 show Benson leading hypothetical general-election matchups against Republican contenders such as U.S. Representative John James and businessman Perry Johnson, as well as independent candidate and former Detroit Mayor Mike Duggan. These results, combined with Michigan’s recent pattern of Democratic victories in statewide races, underpin the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome. Key factors that could still shift probabilities include primary results, candidate fundraising, and any late shifts in voter turnout across battleground regions.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$180,997종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open gubernatorial seat created by term limits for incumbent Democrat Gretchen Whitmer has positioned Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson as the clear frontrunner in Democratic primary polling ahead of the August 4 contest. Recent surveys from early May 2026 show Benson leading hypothetical general-election matchups against Republican contenders such as U.S. Representative John James and businessman Perry Johnson, as well as independent candidate and former Detroit Mayor Mike Duggan. These results, combined with Michigan’s recent pattern of Democratic victories in statewide races, underpin the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome. Key factors that could still shift probabilities include primary results, candidate fundraising, and any late shifts in voter turnout across battleground regions.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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