Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) and challenger Eric Jones (D) dominate trader sentiment for California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, propelled by their fundraising leads—Jones at $3.2 million and Thompson near $3 million through mid-April—far outpacing six Republicans and one independent with under $110,000 each. The district's Solid Democratic rating (Cook PVI D+17) and Thompson's historical primary dominance (over 60% in recent cycles) bolster his position, reinforced by a May 3 Sacramento Bee endorsement, Gov. Newsom backing, and California Democratic Party support, while Jones draws progressive Our Revolution aid amid a fragmented GOP field likely splitting conservative votes. Ballots mailed last week signal early voting underway, with no public polls available to shift dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$29,559 거래량
2026.06.02
마이크 톰슨
98%
Eric Jones
90%
히스 펄커슨
11%
John Wesley Tyler
8%
Trevor Merrell
6%
로리 맥켄지
5%
Sharon Brown
2%
맨디 구사르
<1%
$29,559 거래량
마이크 톰슨
$7,192 거래량
98%
Eric Jones
$4,825 거래량
90%
히스 펄커슨
$396 거래량
11%
John Wesley Tyler
$873 거래량
8%
Trevor Merrell
$9,635 거래량
6%
로리 맥켄지
$710 거래량
5%
Sharon Brown
$3,402 거래량
2%
맨디 구사르
$2,525 거래량
<1%
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) and challenger Eric Jones (D) dominate trader sentiment for California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, propelled by their fundraising leads—Jones at $3.2 million and Thompson near $3 million through mid-April—far outpacing six Republicans and one independent with under $110,000 each. The district's Solid Democratic rating (Cook PVI D+17) and Thompson's historical primary dominance (over 60% in recent cycles) bolster his position, reinforced by a May 3 Sacramento Bee endorsement, Gov. Newsom backing, and California Democratic Party support, while Jones draws progressive Our Revolution aid amid a fragmented GOP field likely splitting conservative votes. Ballots mailed last week signal early voting underway, with no public polls available to shift dynamics.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
마켓 개설일: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
거래량
$29,559종료일
2026.06.02마켓 개설일
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) and challenger Eric Jones (D) dominate trader sentiment for California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, propelled by their fundraising leads—Jones at $3.2 million and Thompson near $3 million through mid-April—far outpacing six Republicans and one independent with under $110,000 each. The district's Solid Democratic rating (Cook PVI D+17) and Thompson's historical primary dominance (over 60% in recent cycles) bolster his position, reinforced by a May 3 Sacramento Bee endorsement, Gov. Newsom backing, and California Democratic Party support, while Jones draws progressive Our Revolution aid amid a fragmented GOP field likely splitting conservative votes. Ballots mailed last week signal early voting underway, with no public polls available to shift dynamics.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
거래량
$29,559종료일
2026.06.02마켓 개설일
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) and challenger Eric Jones (D) dominate trader sentiment for California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, propelled by their fundraising leads—Jones at $3.2 million and Thompson near $3 million through mid-April—far outpacing six Republicans and one independent with under $110,000 each. The district's Solid Democratic rating (Cook PVI D+17) and Thompson's historical primary dominance (over 60% in recent cycles) bolster his position, reinforced by a May 3 Sacramento Bee endorsement, Gov. Newsom backing, and California Democratic Party support, while Jones draws progressive Our Revolution aid amid a fragmented GOP field likely splitting conservative votes. Ballots mailed last week signal early voting underway, with no public polls available to shift dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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