Former Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms commands 91% implied probability as the Democratic nominee for Georgia governor, driven by recent polls like the May 4 AJC survey showing her at 39%—a double-digit edge over Michael Thurmond's 10%—and Echelon Insights data confirming her primary and general election leads. High name recognition, a Biden endorsement, and early voting turnout through May 15 have solidified trader consensus on her frontrunner status in the May 19 primary, where a majority avoids a runoff. Challengers like Thurmond trail amid limited fundraising and consolidation behind Bottoms; realistic shifts would require a late scandal, voter turnout favoring rural Democrats, or undecideds (over 30% in some polls) breaking heavily elsewhere.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트케이샤 랜스 보텀스 92%
마이크 서먼드 7.8%
제이슨 에스테베스 1.4%
제프 던컨 <1%
$363,522 거래량
$363,522 거래량
케이샤 랜스 보텀스
92%
마이크 서먼드
8%
제이슨 에스테베스
1%
제프 던컨
1%
데릭 잭슨
<1%
루와 롬만
<1%
올루지미 브라운
<1%
케이샤 랜스 보텀스 92%
마이크 서먼드 7.8%
제이슨 에스테베스 1.4%
제프 던컨 <1%
$363,522 거래량
$363,522 거래량
케이샤 랜스 보텀스
92%
마이크 서먼드
8%
제이슨 에스테베스
1%
제프 던컨
1%
데릭 잭슨
<1%
루와 롬만
<1%
올루지미 브라운
<1%
If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
마켓 개설일: Dec 5, 2025, 7:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms commands 91% implied probability as the Democratic nominee for Georgia governor, driven by recent polls like the May 4 AJC survey showing her at 39%—a double-digit edge over Michael Thurmond's 10%—and Echelon Insights data confirming her primary and general election leads. High name recognition, a Biden endorsement, and early voting turnout through May 15 have solidified trader consensus on her frontrunner status in the May 19 primary, where a majority avoids a runoff. Challengers like Thurmond trail amid limited fundraising and consolidation behind Bottoms; realistic shifts would require a late scandal, voter turnout favoring rural Democrats, or undecideds (over 30% in some polls) breaking heavily elsewhere.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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