Incumbent Democratic Representative Chellie Pingree's long record of victories in Maine's 1st Congressional District underpins the current 91.5% trader consensus for a Democratic hold. The district's strong Democratic lean, anchored by Portland's urban base, has delivered consistent margins exceeding 15 points in recent cycles, including 58% in 2024. A fragmented Republican primary field ahead of the June 9, 2026 contest has prevented any challenger from consolidating support or mounting a credible threat. While a late Republican consolidation or a broad national partisan swing could narrow the gap, the structural advantages of incumbency and district composition make significant shifts unlikely before the November general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$29,763 거래량
$29,763 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
92%
공화당
6%
$29,763 거래량
$29,763 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$21,635 거래량
92%
공화당
$8,128 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Chellie Pingree's long record of victories in Maine's 1st Congressional District underpins the current 91.5% trader consensus for a Democratic hold. The district's strong Democratic lean, anchored by Portland's urban base, has delivered consistent margins exceeding 15 points in recent cycles, including 58% in 2024. A fragmented Republican primary field ahead of the June 9, 2026 contest has prevented any challenger from consolidating support or mounting a credible threat. While a late Republican consolidation or a broad national partisan swing could narrow the gap, the structural advantages of incumbency and district composition make significant shifts unlikely before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$29,763종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Chellie Pingree's long record of victories in Maine's 1st Congressional District underpins the current 91.5% trader consensus for a Democratic hold. The district's strong Democratic lean, anchored by Portland's urban base, has delivered consistent margins exceeding 15 points in recent cycles, including 58% in 2024. A fragmented Republican primary field ahead of the June 9, 2026 contest has prevented any challenger from consolidating support or mounting a credible threat. While a late Republican consolidation or a broad national partisan swing could narrow the gap, the structural advantages of incumbency and district composition make significant shifts unlikely before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$29,763종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Chellie Pingree's long record of victories in Maine's 1st Congressional District underpins the current 91.5% trader consensus for a Democratic hold. The district's strong Democratic lean, anchored by Portland's urban base, has delivered consistent margins exceeding 15 points in recent cycles, including 58% in 2024. A fragmented Republican primary field ahead of the June 9, 2026 contest has prevented any challenger from consolidating support or mounting a credible threat. While a late Republican consolidation or a broad national partisan swing could narrow the gap, the structural advantages of incumbency and district composition make significant shifts unlikely before the November general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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