In Texas' 38th Congressional District, a safe Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+12, trader consensus heavily favors the GOP at 81.5% implied probability, reflecting the party's dominant historical performance—incumbent Wesley Hunt secured 63% in 2022 and 62.7% in 2024 against the same Democratic nominee, Melissa McDonough, who returns with minimal fundraising of just $48,000 raised. The open seat stems from Hunt's U.S. Senate bid, but the March 3 primaries positioned well-funded Republicans Jon Bonck (Trump-endorsed, $1.4 million raised) and Shelly deZevallos for the May 26 runoff, underscoring GOP strength amid ratings from Cook, Sabato, and Inside Elections as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$14,662 거래량
$14,662 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
82%
민주당
20%
$14,662 거래량
$14,662 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$9,922 거래량
82%
민주당
$4,739 거래량
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Texas' 38th Congressional District, a safe Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+12, trader consensus heavily favors the GOP at 81.5% implied probability, reflecting the party's dominant historical performance—incumbent Wesley Hunt secured 63% in 2022 and 62.7% in 2024 against the same Democratic nominee, Melissa McDonough, who returns with minimal fundraising of just $48,000 raised. The open seat stems from Hunt's U.S. Senate bid, but the March 3 primaries positioned well-funded Republicans Jon Bonck (Trump-endorsed, $1.4 million raised) and Shelly deZevallos for the May 26 runoff, underscoring GOP strength amid ratings from Cook, Sabato, and Inside Elections as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$14,662종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Texas' 38th Congressional District, a safe Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+12, trader consensus heavily favors the GOP at 81.5% implied probability, reflecting the party's dominant historical performance—incumbent Wesley Hunt secured 63% in 2022 and 62.7% in 2024 against the same Democratic nominee, Melissa McDonough, who returns with minimal fundraising of just $48,000 raised. The open seat stems from Hunt's U.S. Senate bid, but the March 3 primaries positioned well-funded Republicans Jon Bonck (Trump-endorsed, $1.4 million raised) and Shelly deZevallos for the May 26 runoff, underscoring GOP strength amid ratings from Cook, Sabato, and Inside Elections as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$14,662종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Texas' 38th Congressional District, a safe Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+12, trader consensus heavily favors the GOP at 81.5% implied probability, reflecting the party's dominant historical performance—incumbent Wesley Hunt secured 63% in 2022 and 62.7% in 2024 against the same Democratic nominee, Melissa McDonough, who returns with minimal fundraising of just $48,000 raised. The open seat stems from Hunt's U.S. Senate bid, but the March 3 primaries positioned well-funded Republicans Jon Bonck (Trump-endorsed, $1.4 million raised) and Shelly deZevallos for the May 26 runoff, underscoring GOP strength amid ratings from Cook, Sabato, and Inside Elections as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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