Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters holds a commanding position in California's 50th congressional district for the 2026 House election, supported by the district's strong Democratic partisan lean and the absence of any declared Republican challenger with significant resources or name recognition. Recent redistricting through Proposition 50, approved by voters in 2025, further tilted the lines toward Democrats, prompting nonpartisan analysts to rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic. With the top-two primary scheduled for June 2, 2026, and the general election on November 3, trader consensus reflects Peters' established fundraising base and prior wide victory margins in this San Diego-area district. A credible GOP candidate entering the race or an unforeseen primary upset could introduce volatility, though current structural factors limit realistic paths for Republican success.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$32,807 거래량
$32,807 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
93%
공화당
8%
$32,807 거래량
$32,807 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$17,619 거래량
93%
공화당
$15,188 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters holds a commanding position in California's 50th congressional district for the 2026 House election, supported by the district's strong Democratic partisan lean and the absence of any declared Republican challenger with significant resources or name recognition. Recent redistricting through Proposition 50, approved by voters in 2025, further tilted the lines toward Democrats, prompting nonpartisan analysts to rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic. With the top-two primary scheduled for June 2, 2026, and the general election on November 3, trader consensus reflects Peters' established fundraising base and prior wide victory margins in this San Diego-area district. A credible GOP candidate entering the race or an unforeseen primary upset could introduce volatility, though current structural factors limit realistic paths for Republican success.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
거래량
$32,807종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters holds a commanding position in California's 50th congressional district for the 2026 House election, supported by the district's strong Democratic partisan lean and the absence of any declared Republican challenger with significant resources or name recognition. Recent redistricting through Proposition 50, approved by voters in 2025, further tilted the lines toward Democrats, prompting nonpartisan analysts to rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic. With the top-two primary scheduled for June 2, 2026, and the general election on November 3, trader consensus reflects Peters' established fundraising base and prior wide victory margins in this San Diego-area district. A credible GOP candidate entering the race or an unforeseen primary upset could introduce volatility, though current structural factors limit realistic paths for Republican success.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$32,807종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters holds a commanding position in California's 50th congressional district for the 2026 House election, supported by the district's strong Democratic partisan lean and the absence of any declared Republican challenger with significant resources or name recognition. Recent redistricting through Proposition 50, approved by voters in 2025, further tilted the lines toward Democrats, prompting nonpartisan analysts to rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic. With the top-two primary scheduled for June 2, 2026, and the general election on November 3, trader consensus reflects Peters' established fundraising base and prior wide victory margins in this San Diego-area district. A credible GOP candidate entering the race or an unforeseen primary upset could introduce volatility, though current structural factors limit realistic paths for Republican success.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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